College Football Best Bets: BetQL Staff Picks For Week 3
Find out which college football bets we're targeting for Week 3
Dan Karpuc: Kansas +10 at Houston
I wrote about Kansas over 2.5 regular-season wins as one of the clear college football win total values earlier this summer and heading into Week 3, they’re one win away from cashing! With a 56-10 win over Tennessee Tech and a shocking 55-42 victory at West Virginia, dynamic quarterback Jalon Daniels is off to a hot start for head coach Lance Leipold, who clearly has this program trending in the right direction. In two starts, Daniels has completed 70.8% of his passes for 424 yards, four touchdowns and an interception and has also added 114 rushing yards on 15 carries and another score.
In the small sample size, KU has averaged 7.5 yards per carry for 497 yards and 10 touchdowns in Leipold’s run-first system that produced now-pro Jarret Patterson at Buffalo in one of the most prolific rushing offenses in college football at the time. Houston lost to Texas Tech (33-30) in their opener and narrowly got by UTSA (37-35) in overtime, so I’m not exactly worried about them blowing the doors off of the Jayhawks at this point, which is something I never expected to write. I’m definitely on Kansas +10 and will even consider betting their moneyline.
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Dan Karpuc: Kansas +10 at Houston
I wrote about Kansas over 2.5 regular-season wins as one of the clear college football win total values earlier this summer and heading into Week 3, they’re one win away from cashing! With a 56-10 win over Tennessee Tech and a shocking 55-42 victory at West Virginia, dynamic quarterback Jalon Daniels is off to a hot start for head coach Lance Leipold, who clearly has this program trending in the right direction. In two starts, Daniels has completed 70.8% of his passes for 424 yards, four touchdowns and an interception and has also added 114 rushing yards on 15 carries and another score.
In the small sample size, KU has averaged 7.5 yards per carry for 497 yards and 10 touchdowns in Leipold’s run-first system that produced now-pro Jarret Patterson at Buffalo in one of the most prolific rushing offenses in college football at the time. Houston lost to Texas Tech (33-30) in their opener and narrowly got by UTSA (37-35) in overtime, so I’m not exactly worried about them blowing the doors off of the Jayhawks at this point, which is something I never expected to write. I’m definitely on Kansas +10 and will even consider betting their moneyline.
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Lucy Burdge: No. 21 Texas -11 vs. UTSA
Texas won their first game of the season against Louisiana-Monroe, 52-10, and they nearly took down Alabama last week in a 20-19 loss. I think they can handle this spread against UTSA, especially because Texas is 6-0 ATS in September games while at home over the last three years, and Steve Sarkisian is 10-2 ATS after playing two straight non-conference games over their career. So I like Texas to cover this spread against UTSA at home.
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Brad Pinkerton: Nebraska +11.5 vs. No. 6 Oklahoma
This line opened at +14 after Scott Frost's firing and was immediately hammered down to +11, which tells you a lot about bettors' collective opinion of Frost's effect on this Nebraska team. Perhaps this is the exact change needed to jumpstart the Cornhuskers, who haven't even covered in three outright losses this season. I'm going to wait and see how this line moves as we get closer to kickoff (and where the sharp money is going), but I'm OK with anything at +10.5 or better. Depending on that line movement, this might be a game I circle for an upset too.
Does the BetQL model agree? Last week, BetQL went 8-3 (73%) on college football spread picks rated ⭐⭐⭐⭐ and higher for a quick return of $427, so click the game above to find out!
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