The 2022-2023 NBA regular season is finally here and BetQL is your source for best bets, sharp picks, live public data, player prop values, final score projections and so much more for Friday’s games! Scroll down to take a look at two player prop values you should take advantage of, coupled with exclusive sportsbook offers. I’ve gone 3-0 on these player prop picks two different times this week, so let’s finish up the week strong.
The 2022-2023 NBA regular season is finally here and BetQL is your source for best bets, sharp picks, live public data, player prop values, final score projections and so much more for Friday’s games! Scroll down to take a look at two player prop values you should take advantage of, coupled with exclusive sportsbook offers. I’ve gone 3-0 on these player prop picks two different times this week, so let’s finish up the week strong.
With Cole Anthony, Markelle Fultz and Jalen Suggs all out, No. 1 pick Paolo Banchero is going to see an astronomical amount of usage against the Hornets tonight. He already leads the Magic with a 29.7% usage rate and got over this 3.5 assist mark twice in five games while not serving as the primary ball-handler. I expect Banchero and Franz Wagner to have the ball in their hands a ton tonight (also like Wagner quite a bit) and BetQL is projecting the rookie to record six assists, which would be a career-high. Through five games, Banchero has made a total of 45.6 passes per game (2nd on the Magic) and I fully expect him to be involved in all areas of Orlando’s offensive attack tonight.
BetQL is projecting Avdija to score just five points tonight, which is right in line with his season average of 5.3 points per contest. Not only has he played an average of only 18.0 minutes per game, but he hasn’t taken more than six shots in any single game yet and also hasn’t gotten over this 9.5 point mark once yet. This seems like a mispriced line, so I’m going to take advantage of it. Of the 14 Wizards on the active roster, Avdija ranks 11th in usage rate (12.7%) and I don’t see that turning around anytime soon.
The Lakers have allowed opposing centers to record 18.99 rebounds per game (2nd-most in the NBA), which is not exactly a surprise given the start that they’re off to. Through four games, they’ve gone 33-for-148 (22.3%) from three-point range, the worst mark in NBA history for any four-game span in which a team has attempted over 125 threes. Gobert is a rebounding machine, has gone over this 13.5 rebound mark in three of his five games played so far and while this is a huge number, he should crush on the glass tonight. Opposing teams have pulled down 63.3 total rebounds per game (most in NBA) against LA and Gobert has had an average of 25.2 rebounding chances per contest already. That's insane. Now he gets the best matchup in the sport right now. I expect a 20-rebound night for him.
Anfernee Simons Over 5.5 Assists vs. Rockets
With Damian Lillard out, Simons will be thrust into a high-usage role as Portland’s primary ball-handler in a stellar individual matchup. The Rockets have allowed 11.78 assists per game to opposing point guards (2nd-most in the NBA) and this is a pace-up spot for the Blazers. Houston ranks T5th in pace while the Blazers rank 22nd and without Lillard, I expected Portland to attempt to push the pace even without factoring in this exact matchup. Simons has completed an average of 45.6 passes per game (2nd on the Blazers) and now will definitely eat into Lillard’s 54.2 completed passes, including 9.6 potential assists per game.
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