2019-2020 NBA MVP Odds - UPDATED

A look at updated early-season NBA MVP odds

Current Odds

The following odds can be found on DraftKings (updated November 19th, 2019)

  1. Giannis Antetokounmpo (+225)
  2. James Harden (+350)
  3. LeBron James (+550)
  4. Anthony Davis (+750)
  5. Luka Doncic (+900)

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Analysis

Giannis Antetokounpo's position at the top of the odds didn't change from last week, while James Harden's odds increased from +450 to +350. Meanwhile, LeBron James saw a large jump from +800 to +550 to move into third place, leapfrogging teammate Anthony Davis, who saw his odds fall from +600 to +750. As predicted last week, Kawhi Leonard fell out of the top five while Luka Doncic (+900) emerged after a slew of dominant performances. It will be fascinating to see if Luka can continue to ascend due to the presence of Russell Westbrook (who could affect Harden) and the fact that LeBron and AD might cancel each other out. Giannis and Luka are the undisputed go-to playmakers for their respective teams and don't have any co-superstar to work with.

Last Week's Odds

The following odds can be found on DraftKings (updated November 13th, 2019)

  1. Giannis Antetokounmpo (+225)
  2. James Harden (+450)
  3. Anthony Davis (+600)
  4. Kawhi Leonard (+800)
  5. LeBron James (+800)

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Analysis

While Giannis Antetokounmpo is the clear frontrunner to defend his MVP award, James Harden got in the conversation last week when his odds increased from +750 last week to +450 after a few eye-popping performances. But those odds remained constant since then. You have to think that Russell Westbrook's presence somewhat limits Harden's upside when it comes to winning this award. Antetokounmpo, barring injury, should be considered the clear favorite moving forward, especially since LeBron James and Anthony Davis could also end up canceling each other out of the equation eventually as well. Since either Kawhi Leonard or the Clippers love to sit him out of games for "load management" purposes and since he plays on an extremely deep team, it's slightly surprising to see him listed in the top five. When Paul George returns soon, expect Leonard's name to fall off of this list.

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Last Week's Odds

The following odds can be found on DraftKings (updated November 6th, 2019)

  1. Giannis Antetokounmpo (+205)
  2. James Harden (+450)
  3. Anthony Davis (+600)
  4. Kawhi Leonard (+800)
  5. LeBron James (+1000)

Honorable mentions: Nikola Jokic (+1200), Joel Embiid (+1600), Kyrie Irving (+2000), Luka Doncic (+1600), Karl-Anthony Towns (+2900)

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Analysis

Stephen Curry's hand injury essentially erased him from the equation since he will reportedly be out for multiple months after undergoing surgery. As a result, LeBron James entered the top five. While Giannis Antetokounmpo is the clear frontrunner to defend his MVP award, James Harden's odds increased from +750 last week to +450 this week after a few eye-popping performances. However, Russell Westbrook's presence somewhat limits Harden's upside when it comes to winning this award. Antetokounmpo, barring injury, should be considered the clear favorite moving forward, especially since LeBron James and Anthony Davis could also end up canceling each other out of the equation eventually as well.

Previous Week's Odds

The following odds were found on DraftKings on October 31st, 2019.

  1. Giannis Antetokounmpo (+275)
  2. Stephen Curry (+600)
  3. Kawhi Leonard (+700)
  4. James Harden (+750)
  5. Anthony Davis (+800)

Honorable mentions: LeBron James (+1000), Nikola Jokic (+1100), Joel Embiid (+1400), Damian Lillard (+3300), Karl-Anthony Towns (+3300), Luka Doncic (+4000), Kyrie Irving (+4000), Russell Westbrook (+5000)

Analysis

Giannis Antetokounmpo has a couple major factors working for him, which is why he’s the clear favorite to repeat as MVP at the moment. First, he’s the only true “star” on his team. That’s not the case for everyone else on this list except Stephen Curry (without Klay Thompson), Kawhi Leonard (at the moment before Paul George returns), Nikola Jokic and Karl-Anthony Towns. Secondly, he’s an all-around superstar who might be the most dominant two-way player in the Association. If the Greek Freak stays healthy and continues to grow and dominate at both ends of the floor, this award will likely be his to lose year after year. 

Kyrie Irving (+4000) and Trae Young (+7000) are two names to note, though. Irving has thrived, is off to an incredible start with the Brooklyn Nets and is in store for a high-usage role all season long, as is Young, who is off to an amazing start for the Atlanta Hawks. Both point guards will likely start to creep into the top 10 if they continue their scorching-hot play and both have legitimate MVP upside if they can lead their respective teams to the playoffs. 

At this point, though, Giannis’ production, upside and role on his team are unmatched by his competition.

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