BetQL Editors' NBA Picks For Tuesday, Dec. 20

Today's NBA Best Bets

Another day of NBA action means another day of tough decisions for bettors. To help you make the best bets today, the BetQL editors have picked a few of their favorite NBA bets below using key trends, data and picks from the BetQL NBA model.

One trend to note is that the BetQL NBA model is on fire, going 313-186 (63%) on all NBA picks rated ⭐⭐ and higher since the season started for a total return of $1,365 on $100 bets! Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of today's best NBA bets, plus what the model is projecting for this week's NFL, NHL, and NCAA football and basketball games! Start your free trial today!

Kate Constable: Grizzlies -1.5 at Nuggets

The Denver Nuggets' defense has been awful lately, especially their transition defense, which ranks bottom-five in the league. That’s not going to bode all that well against the Grizzlies, who average the third-most fast-break points this season and are going to try and run every chance they get. I expect Nikola Jokic to have a big game -- because when does he not? -- but other than that, I’m not sure the Nuggets will have enough to win with the way they’ve been turning the ball over lately. Turnovers have been a huge problem for Denver all season, and Memphis is going to take advantage. The Nuggets are also only 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games, while the Grizzlies are 7-2-1 ATS.

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Dan Karpuc: Knicks -4.5 vs. Warriors
Under Tom Thibodeau, the Knicks have gone 16-3 ATS after covering the spread in four consecutive games, and New York is riding a seven-game win (and cover) streak. With Steph Curry and Andrew Wiggins still out, the Warriors won’t be at full strength and it’s also important to note that while Klay Thompson and Jonathan Kuminga are expected to play, they aren’t at 100% either. This Knicks team has hit its stride and is the hottest team in the sport right now (which is odd to write). I just can’t trust Golden State right now without Curry on the floor. I also am very happy about the fact that Jordan Poole went off and Draymond Green shot lights-out in a Warriors win over the Raptors on Sunday because that kept this line as short as it is. I fully expect the Knicks to win and cover.

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Lucy Burdge: Heat -5 vs. Bulls
Excuse the pun, but the Heat are on fire right now and the Bulls most certainly are not, so I really like the Heat in this spot to cover. Miami has won four straight, while the Bulls have lost their last four and failed to cover in their straight and seven of their last nine. Chicago has also failed to cover in four of the last five road games, so I think the Heat can cover this spread tonight in Miami.

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Brad Pinkerton: BetMGM NBA OGP Insurance Play of the Day

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Here is my play for today, using the strategy of "middling" the game total (can only lose a maximum of one leg there), and taking the most points on both teams (can only lose one leg here too); you can apply this strategy to any NBA game, any night:

CHI-MIA Over 213.5
CHI-MIA Under 233.5
Bulls +14.5
Heat +5.5
OGP odds: +260

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MORE NBA: TODAY’S BETTING GUIDE | PLAYER PROPS

Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of today's best NBA bets, plus what the model is projecting for this week's NFL, NHL and NCAA football and basketball games! Start your free trial today!