BetQL Editors' NBA Picks For Tuesday, Jan. 17

Today's NBA Best Bets

Another day of NBA action means another day of tough decisions for bettors. To help you make the best bets today, the BetQL editors have picked a few of their favorite NBA bets below using key trends, data and picks from the BetQL NBA model.

One trend to note is that the BetQL NBA model has been crushing spread bets, going 30-14 (68%) on all spread picks in the last seven days for a total return of $1,327 on $100 bets! Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of today's best NBA bets, plus what the model is projecting for this week's NFL, NHL, and NCAA football and basketball games! Start your free trial today!

Kate Constable: Nuggets 1Q -2
Surprise, surprise, I’m backing the Nuggets in the first quarter again. Hey, if it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. Denver has been the NBA's best first-quarter team ATS this season with a net rating in the first 12 minutes that is nearly five points better than the second-best team, while Portland has a bottom-five defense in the first quarter on the road. The Nuggets are also 4-1 ATS in their last five home games, while the Blazers are just 1-4 in their last five on the road.

Want free bets? Sign up for a new DraftKings account using the offer below!

Dan Karpuc: Nuggets -7 vs. Blazers
The Nuggets are clearly the best team in the Western Conference right now and it’s important to note that this total opened at 233.5 points. Under Chauncy Billups, Portland has gone just 2-12 ATS in road games where the total is 230 or more points! The last time these two teams squared off, Nikola Jokic and Denver took care of business at home, 120-107, and will get the home-court advantage again in this one. The Nuggets have gone a dominant 18-3 SU (13-7-1 ATS) at home this year while the Blazers have lost and failed to cover the spread in their last seven road games. Give me Denver to win big and keep its hot streak going. The Nuggets have gone 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall and have gone 13-2 SU in their last 15 contests. You can make the argument that they’re the best team in the NBA right now.

New FanDuel users get a No Sweat First Bet with the offer below!

Brad Pinkerton: BetMGM NBA OGP Insurance Play of the Day

If you're not playing BetMGM's NBA OGP Insurance promo yet, you're leaving money on the table. Opt in to the promo and place a four-leg (minimum) NBA one-game parlay; if your OGP loses by one leg, you'll get your stake back in a free bet up to $25 -- and you can take advantage of this promo once every day there's an NBA game!

Here is my play for today, switching up the strategy slightly to remove spreads from the equation: Find a comfortable favorite of 5-8 points, preferably at home, take the favorite to go over its lowest team total, the 'dog to go under its highest team total and then "middle" the game total (can only lose a maximum of one leg there). There's less reward than trying to middle both the total and spread, but there's also less risk here and still a good shot at getting insurance if it doesn't hit. You can apply this strategy to any NBA game, any night:

POR-DEN Over 227.5
POR-DEN Under 247.5
Nuggets Over 112.5
Blazers Under 125.5
OGP odds: +140

Join BetMGM to start taking advantage of their daily OGP insurance promos across NBA, NFL, NHL and college football, too! New BetMGM customers also get a risk-free first bet up to $1,000 using the offer below!

Bet on NBA risk-free up to $1,000 at BetMGM right now! Take advantage below!

MORE NBA: TODAY’S BETTING GUIDE | PLAYER PROPS

Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of today's best NBA bets, plus what the model is projecting for this week's NFL, NHL and NCAA football and basketball games! Start your free trial today!