NBA Player Props: 2 Best Bets for Wednesday, May 5

Today's NBA slate features 9-games, which means there are plenty of options to choose from for our player prop bets. As for the marquee game of the day, I'll go with Knicks-Nuggets. Denver is favored by 3.5-points and the total is set to 215. This game should have a playoff atmosphere.

For today’s best NBA bets, player props are a fun way to wager on NBA games even if you don't like a side or total. I like to find matchups that I can exploit or good situations due to injuries. 

Let’s dive into a couple of these scenarios now.

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Jayson Tatum OVER 28.5 points

This is a high number, but it's a good spot for Tatum tonight with Jaylen Brown being out. Per StatMuse, Tatum has averaged 31.3 points per game (PPG) without Brown this season. He's also been on a tear, averaging 30.2 PPG over his last nine outings.

Defensively, the Magic are soft, as they rank 20th in field goals allowed, 23rd in defensive rating and 25th in 3-pointers allowed. All which bode well for Tatum to get his.

We should see high usage from him tonight, so I envision him getting 30. I'll bite.

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Rui Hachimura OVER 13.5 points

I wanted to target this game since it has the highest total on the board by far. The Wizards are playing at an insane pace right now and catch the Bucks in a little bit of a let down spot. The Westbrook and Beal numbers look inflated today, so I'm going to ride with Hachimura at this number.

He's averaging 14.5 PPG over his last six games and 25 a game against the Bucks this season (two games). And, he's gone over this mark in two straight games.

Rui should be a big part of this matchup tonight, so I'll take the over in a game where will see a lot of buckets.

* Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook

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BetQL Model Play of the Day

BetQL has a 4-star play tonight on the Spurs-Jazz game. The model is liking the Spurs in this spot and projects this line to be Spurs +4.5. This is a 2-point difference from the current line, so there's value per the projections.

BetQL Model Trend of the Day

Wizards at Bucks, 8:10pm EST

• Our model has gone 47-31 (60.3%) on spread bets in Russell Westbrook starts. If you bet $100 on each, you’d be up $1,169.53 right now.

You can check out all of BetQL's best NBA bets here.

* These are the model's ratings at the time the article was published. Star ratings can change due to line changes, injuries, and other breaking information.