2019-2020 NBA Championship Odds - UPDATED

Evaluating updated NBA title odds

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Current Odds

The following odds can be found on DraftKings (updated November 19th, 2019).

  1. Clippers (+300)
  2. Lakers (+350)
  3. Bucks (+550)
  4. 76ers (+700)
  5. Rockets (+800)

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Analysis

The championship odds have remained exactly the same as last week, as both LA teams stand out above the field. Now that Paul George is back to pair with Kawhi Leonard (once he gets healthy), the Clippers will presumably boast the best defensive team in the NBA and are arguably the deepest team as well, since Lou Williams and Montrezl Harrell should do work on the second unit all season long. Meanwhile, any sign of aging that LeBron James showed last season seems to be gone, as the reinvigorated King has the Lakers clicking on all cylinders. Their big-man options (Anthony Davis, JaVale McGee, Dwight Howard) will create headaches for opposing teams all season long. The Bucks and 76ers continue to be considered the most dangerous Eastern Conference teams, but the Celtics have been on a roll and could see their name on this list next week. Meanwhile, James Harden, Russell Westbrook and the Rockets are still viewed as a threat and have a high upside since they're still adapting to playing alongside each other once again.

Last Week's Odds

The following odds can be found on DraftKings (updated November 13th, 2019).

  1. Clippers (+300)
  2. Lakers (+350)
  3. Bucks (+550)
  4. 76ers (+700)
  5. Rockets (+800)

Honorable Mentions: Nuggets (+1600), Jazz (+1600), Celtics (+2500), Raptors (+3500), Nets (+4000)

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Analysis

Oh, how the mighty have fallen! The Golden State Warriors entered the season without Kevin Durant, who they flipped for D'Angelo Russell. Fast forward a couple weeks and both Steph Curry (hand) and Draymond Green (finger) are dealing with injuries that will keep them sidelined for an indefinite amount of time. The lineups that Golden State has been trotting out have not resembled the dynasty and it seems like the league is as wide open as it's been over the past decade or so.

All five most-favorited teams maintained their positions. The Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Lakers and Houston Rockets have gotten off to early hot starts in the Western Conference while the Milwaukee Bucks and Philadelphia 76ers are the clear frontrunners in the Eastern Conference. It will be fascinating to see if depth (Clippers, Lakers) or a pure star-centric roster (like the Rockets) will become more dangerous as the season rolls along. The Clippers are arguably the deepest team in the NBA.


Previous Week's Odds

The following odds were found on DraftKings last week.

  1. Clippers (+350)
  2. Lakers (+440)
  3. Bucks (+625)
  4. 76ers (+700)
  5. Rockets (+900)

Honorable Mentions: Jazz (+1500), Nuggets (+2000), Celtics (+2500), Nets (+2500), Blazers (+4000), Raptors (+4000)

Analysis

Every NBA team had played two or three games through the first Sunday of the new season and there were only five teams with undefeated records. Think about that for a second. That’s crazy!

One of the major storylines heading into this season was the parity that was sure to exist. Although we could never begin to separate teams after just one week of play regardless, it’s pretty clear that there is talent across the entire league and that there will be very few “free square” styled games this year where elite teams could guarantee a victory. 

Based on the odds above, every team is a risky bet, but if you want to chase some upside, consider wagering on the Portland Trail Blazers (+4000). When Portland gets Jusuf Nurkic back from injury at some point, they’ll be able to rotate him and Hassan Whiteside at center while benefitting from one of the game’s best backcourts (Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum). They also have a plethora of talented ancillary pieces like Rodney Hood, Kent Bazemore, Zach Collins and Mario Hezonja to support their core. At these odds, it makes sense to take a shot on them.

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