NBA Betting Guide: NBA Odds, Best Bets For Wednesday, April 5
NBA odds, best bets & trends for today's games
Kate Constable - Apr 5, 2023, 12:12pm EDT
NBA Betting Odds, Best Bets
There are only three games left in the regular season for most teams, which means we need to take advantage of betting on/against some bad teams. With eight games on the slate tonight, let's see where we can find some value and what trends might be worth following.
BetQL is here to help you make smart, informed bets with live NBA betting odds, best bets from our model, sharp picks, public bets, line movement data, exclusive NBA articles and much more to help you cash tonight. BetQL subscribers can see all of today's best bets, including NBA player props, plus game projections, betting trends and more!
NBA Best Bet From BetQL
Pacers +8.5 vs. Knicks ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Pacers are awful, I won't deny that. They've lost four of their last five games, while the Knicks are coming into this game on a four-game win streak. However, neither team has anything to play for right now. The Pacers are eliminated from the postseason and the Knicks are locked into the No. 5 spot in the East and will face the No. 4 seed Cavs in the first round regardless of how these final three games play out. New York has won both games against Indiana this year, but those two wins came by a combined nine points. Those games were also played back in December and January when the Knicks were actually trying. I recognize that the Pacers had Myles Turner and Tyrese Haliburton in those games and both players will be out tonight. But the Knicks also had Julius Randle and Jalen Brunson, who are out for New York. Indiana has covered its last two games and I expect them to do the same tonight. Head over to BetMGM and take the points with the home team.
Top NBA Player Prop
Domantas Sabonis o12.5 Rebounds (+110, DraftKings)
Sabonis is averaging 12.4 rebounds on the season and 12.7 in March. Tonight's number sits right at his season average, but I think there is value in taking his over being we're getting a plus-money at DraftKings. In his two games against Dallas this season, Sabonis has tallied 14 and 11 boards. The Mavs have all but quit on the season and it doesn't seem like they're too motivated to finish the year on a strong note. Over the last five games, Dallas is giving up the fifth-most total rebounds to opponents and the second-most offensive boards. Meanwhile, the Kings are top-10 in rebound percentage over their last five games. With Sacramento healthy and motivated, we're going to see a much better effort from them tonight and Sabonis is the one who's going to set the tone for this team. DraftKings has the best odds on this prop so head over there and grab an awesome sign-up bonus too!
Best Sportsbook Offers & NBA Promos
Here's a play for one of our favorite daily NBA promos at BetMGM (we'll update if anyone drops a good NBA boost, though):
BetMGM NBA One-Game Parlay Insurance Play of the Day
Opt in to the promo and place a four-leg (minimum) NBA one-game parlay with at least +400 odds; if your OGP loses by one leg, you'll get your stake back in a free bet up to $25 -- and you can take advantage of this promo once every day there's an NBA game!
We've already hit several of these using the strategy of "middling" the alt total and alt spreads for each team to increase our chances of getting the insurance if the OGP doesn't hit. Also, DO NOT play these OGPs without the promo, as the insurance is the only reason these bets are valuable over time. Here is my play for today. You can adjust each leg to your liking and apply this strategy to any NBA game, any night.
Raptors-Celtics o214.5
Raptors-Celtics o233.5
Raptors +10.5
Celtics +3.5
OGP Odds: +400
Join BetMGM to start taking advantage of their daily OGP insurance promos across NBA, MLB, NHL and EPL/UCL. New BetMGM customers also get a risk-free first bet up to $1,000 using the offer below!
NBA Betting Trends For The Win
Not only does the BetQL model find the most valuable NBA bets every day, but it also finds some fantastic betting trends to help you make more informed bets. Whether that be a situational trend, an historical trend or a coaching trend, we have something for every game that shows why a team might be valuable that night.
Lakers-Clippers: The Los Angeles Clippers are 11-2 ATS in April games while at home over the last three years.
Knicks-Pacers: The Indiana Pacers are 8-3 SU when playing with two days rest this season.
Bulls-Bucks: Mike Budenholzer is 55-26 ATS versus division opponents while coaching Milwaukee. The Bucks are also 20-8 ATS in the first half after a win by 10 points or more this season.
Raptors-Celtics: The Boston Celtics are 15-4 ATS versus teams that are allowing opponents to shoot 48% or higher this season.
Kings-Mavericks: The Kings are 16-4 STS when playing against a team with a losing record while on the road this season.
Grizzlies-Pelicans: The New Orleans Pelicans are 7-0 ATS versus division opponents while at home this season.
BetQL Trending Bets
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MORE: SEE ALL NBA TRENDING BETS NOW
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