NBA Betting Guide: NBA Odds, Best Bets For Tuesday, April 4
NBA odds, best bets & trends for today's games
Kate Constable - Apr 4, 2023, 10:23am EDT
NBA Betting Odds, Best Bets
After an off day across the league, the NBA is back on Tuesday night with a stacked slate. There are 13 games taking place with quite a few lopsided matchups, which means surely there are a few double-digit spreads we can take advantage of!
BetQL is here to help you make smart, informed bets with live NBA betting odds, best bets from our model, sharp picks, public bets, line movement data, exclusive NBA articles and much more to help you cash tonight. BetQL subscribers can see all of today's best bets, including NBA player props, plus game projections, betting trends and more!
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NBA Best Bet From BetQL
Grizzlies -17.5 vs. Blazers ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Memphis is coming off a road loss to the Chicago Bulls on Sunday and is now back home, taking on the Portland Trail Blazers. The Blazers earned a surprising win against the Timberwolves over the weekend despite being 14.5-point underdogs. Winning consecutive games is a tall task for this Blazers team, which is why I can't imagine they're going to be anywhere close to winning Tuesday's matchup. Memphis is laying 17.5 points in this one, but the Grizzlies have been so good at home this season that the large number doesn't scare me. They're 34-6 SU and 23-16-1 ATS at FedExForum. Portland has so many players on their injury report that, outside of Sunday's game against Minnesota, it hasn't been competitive over the last two weeks. The Blazers have lost three of their last four games by at least 24 points and have failed to cover a double-digit spread in each of those losses. With large spreads like this, you do always need to be cautious of the Grizzlies taking their foot off the gas and the Blazers getting a backdoor cover, so I would also consider a look at Memphis covering in the first half. That number isn't currently out yet, but should be around -8.5 or -9.
Top NBA Player Prop
Chris Paul Double-Double (+160, DraftKings)
In the limited time Kevin Durant has been on the floor with the Suns, assist numbers for both Chris Paul and Devin Booker have gone up. That makes sense given that they're dishing out passes to one of the best scorers of all time. In the six games that Paul has played alongside Durant, the Point God is averaging 10.7 points, 9.2 assists and 4.3 rebounds, according to StatMuse. Paul recorded double-digit points in all but three games during the month of March and is coming off a 16-point performance on Sunday against OKC. He should have no problem racking up stats tonight considering the Spurs own the second-worst defense in the league and are giving up the fourth-most assists to opponents over their last five games. Plus, even if this is a blowout, with the limited time Phoenix has had with Durant on the floor, I could see head coach Monty Williams leaving his starters in longer than he typically might in order to give them more court time together.
Best Sportsbook Offers & NBA Promos
Here's a play for one of our favorite daily NBA promos at BetMGM (we'll update if anyone drops a good NBA boost, though):
BetMGM NBA One-Game Parlay Insurance Play of the Day
Opt in to the promo and place a four-leg (minimum) NBA one-game parlay with at least +400 odds; if your OGP loses by one leg, you'll get your stake back in a free bet up to $25 -- and you can take advantage of this promo once every day there's an NBA game!
We've already hit several of these using the strategy of "middling" the alt total and alt spreads for each team to increase our chances of getting the insurance if the OGP doesn't hit. Also, DO NOT play these OGPs without the promo, as the insurance is the only reason these bets are valuable over time. Here is my play for today. You can adjust each leg to your liking and apply this strategy to any NBA game, any night.
Timberwolves-Nets o217.5
Timberwolves-Nets o235.5
Timberwolves +6.5
Nets +7.5
OGP Odds: +400
Join BetMGM to start taking advantage of their daily OGP insurance promos across NBA, MLB, NHL and EPL/UCL. New BetMGM customers also get a risk-free first bet up to $1,000 using the offer below!
NBA Betting Trends For The Win
Not only does the BetQL model find the most valuable NBA bets every day, but it also finds some fantastic betting trends to help you make more informed bets. Whether that be a situational trend, an historical trend or a coaching trend, we have something for every game that shows why a team might be valuable that night.
Blazers-Grizzlies: The Memphis Grizzlies are 13-1 ATS versus teams allowing 116 or more points per game while at home this season.
Raptors-Hornets: Steve Clifford is 6-1 SU after a blowout loss by 20 points or more while coaching Charlotte.
Timberwolves-Nets: The Minnesota Timberwolves are 21-12 SU avenging a loss this season.
Bucks-Wizards: Mike Budenholzer is 40-16 ATS as a road favorite of 6.5 to 12 points while coaching Milwaukee.
Lakers-Jazz: Will Hardy is 7-0 SU as a home underdog of +200 or less while coaching Utah.
Thunder-Warriors: The Golden State Warriors are 23-8 ATS at home versus teams averaging at least 23 assists per game.
BetQL Trending Bets
A new section of our site highlights bets that check the most boxes when it comes to four categories: BetQL Model projections, BetQL Community picks, Sharp Betting data, "Fade the Public" data. Check out which bets are checking the most boxes today!
MORE: SEE ALL NBA TRENDING BETS NOW
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