NBA Best Bets: BetQL Staff Picks For Tuesday, May 10

NBA Best Bets for Tuesday

Dan Karpuc: Mavericks +6 at Suns

Remember when LeBron James willed the Cleveland Cavaliers to the Finals in 2006-2007 when he had basically no help from his teammates? He was the best player on the floor every night and simply unstoppable. That's what Luka Doncic has been for the Mavericks in this series, averaging 33.0 points, 9.3 rebounds and 8.8 assists in 37.8 minutes. Jason Kidd has surrounded him with shooters, most notably giving Maxi Kleber heavy minutes off the bench in relief of Dwight Powell, which makes this Dallas team difficult to defend due to their spacing. Doncic has a proven ability to drive to the basket (past almost anyone), but also has the awareness to kick it to an open teammate if the defense collapses on him. I am not comfortable betting Dallas' moneyline because the Suns were dominant at home all year long and Chris Paul will not have three terrible games in a row, but I am very comfortable getting Dallas at +6 and think they keep this game very close. Per BetQL, Dallas is 31-17 ATS against teams with winning records this season.

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Nick Ashooh: Mavericks +6

I don't think we're really going out on a limb saying the Suns need Chris Paul on the court. They also need him to get back to being the future Hall of Famer we're accustomed to. Over his last two games, CP3 has had ten total fouls, while averaging just 8.5 points, 6.0 rebounds and 5.5 assists while turning the ball over nine total times. The Grizzlies won both those games, and are clearly making it a point to take Paul out of the game as much as they can. Phoenix hasn't been great at covering at home (23-23 ATS), so there's enough over the last two games to tell us the Mavs' game plan is clicking. Suns win, but Mavs cover here.

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Lucy Burdge: Heat -3 vs. 76ers
The Heat covered the spread at home in Games 1 and 2, and I believe in them to do it again in this one. BetQL points out that the Heat are 34-16 ATS against teams forcing 13 or fewer turnovers per game, and 20-7 against teams making at least 36% of their 3-point attempts. But a trend I absolutely adore here is that the 76ers are 0-9 ATS on Tuesday nights this season, so I’m all-in on the Heat to cover this spread.

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