Manchester City vs

Aston Villa Prediction

There is a 20.2% chance of a draw. In simulations where the game is not a draw Manchester City, at 67.3%, are heavy favorites to beat Aston Villa who have just a 12.5% chance to win at home. Overall, the average simulation score is Manchester City 2.3 to Aston Villa 0.9. In simulation wins, Aston Villa upsets Manchester City by averaging 7.2 shots and 4.0 shots on goal. They average 2.1 goals in simulated victories vs just 0.6 in simulation losses. The leading goal scorer for Manchester City is Erling Håland with a 66% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Manchester City has a 80% chance to win. The leading goal scorer for Aston Villa is Nicolas Jackson with a 31% chance of scoring 1 or more goals. When he has at least one goal Aston Villa has a 25% chance to win.