Top NFL Player Prop Values For Week 14
Take advantage of the following NFL player prop values now
Dan Karpuc - Dec 9, 2022, 11:37am EST
Top NFL Player Prop Values
When making your weekly NFL picks, BetQL is your source for NFL best bets, sharp picks, live public data, player prop values, final score projections and so much more for this week's games! Scroll down to take a look at three player prop values you should take advantage of, coupled with exclusive sportsbook offers!
Jared Goff Over 266.5 Passing Yards & Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 82.5 Receiving Yards vs. Vikings
The Lions are surprising home favorites against the Vikings in a game with a 52-point total this week and Detroit’s passing offense is in the best-possible spot to produce this week. The Vikings have allowed 299.58 passing yards per game (worst in NFL), which is a major positive for Jared Goff, who’s coming off a 31-for-41, 340-yard, two-touchdown effort against the Jaguars.
Goff’s favorite target Amon-Ra St. Brown is also in the best-possible matchup. Minnesota has surrendered an average of 203 receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts (worst in NFL) on 14.75 average receptions (worst in NFL) and St. Brown has been an elite producer when healthy. Over his last four weeks, he’s caught 11 of 12 passes for 114 touchdowns and two touchdowns, nine of 10 targets for 122 yards and a touchdown, seven of eight passes for 76 yards and 10 of 11 targets for 119 yards. I’d be comfortable teasing either of these up to get more of an upside as well (Goff up to 280ish and St. Brown to 100).
Raheem Mostert Over 47.5 Rushing Yards & Jeff Wilson Jr. Over 40.5 Rushing Yards vs. Chargers
Last week agains the 49ers, the Dolphins abandoned the running game, but don’t expect that trend to continue this week. While Raheem Mostert dominated the carries last week, I expect a balanced attack this week in the best-possible matchup for a rushing offense. The Chargers have allowed a ridiculously-awful 5.6 yards per rush (worst in the NFL… next worst is 5.12) and 132.92 rushing yards allowed per game on average (2nd-worst).
This Dolphins offense features a dominant pass attack with Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, but I expect Mike McDaniels and his staff to craft up a run-heavy game plan to take advantage of this terrible defense that’s been a turnstile on the ground.
Chris Godwin Over 6.5 Receptions vs. 49ers
Speaking of the 49ers, San Francisco has allowed 56.92 yards per contest to opposing running backs (best in the NFL). That’s bad news for a Buccaneers offense that averages an NFL-worst 73.3 rushing yards per game. I don’t expect Byron Leftwich to craft up many run plays in this one, which means Tom Brady will likely use the short passing game as his method to move the ball down the field.
That means Chris Godwin, who has had double-digit targets in six of his last seven games, is in a fantastic spot. TB12’s favorite target is coming off of back-to-back 13-target games in which he caught 12 passes for 110 yards and a touchdown and eight passes for 63 yards and you can bet over 6.5 receptions at plus-money pretty much everywhere right now. Run to bet this ASAP!
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