NFL Betting Guide: Odds, Trends & Picks For Week 14
NFL betting lines, trends and picks you need to know for Week 14
Bryan Zarpentine - Dec 12, 2022, 1:05pm ESTNFL Betting Lines, Odds & Picks For Week 14
The NFL season moves into Week 14, and BetQL is your source for NFL best bets, live NFL public bets, live NFL sharp data, NFL line movement and historical betting trends in addition to our NFL articles that cover the sport from top to bottom. Scroll down to see all the best bets and key betting trends for this week's top matchups.
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Raiders at Rams
ATS Record: Raiders 6-6, Rams 3-8-1
O/U Record: Raiders 6-6, Rams 5-7
It looks to be all over for the Rams, who suffered their sixth straight defeat last week despite beating the spread as home underdogs. Sean McVay’s team will also be a home underdog this week, showing just how far they have fallen since winning the Super Bowl. Naturally, not having Matthew Stafford isn’t helping. As for the Raiders, they’ve won three in a row and might have a late playoff push in them. But while they’ve won their last two road games, the Raiders are just 2-5 SU on the road this year. That includes three losses in other games in which they’ve been favored on the road.
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Jets at Bills
ATS Record: Jets 7-5, Bills 6-5-1
O/U Record: Jets 5-7, Bills 3-9
With three straight wins, the Bills are atop the AFC East and currently control their own destiny with regard to the top seed in the AFC. This week, they’ll look to avenge a 20-17 loss to the Jets last month. Buffalo was a 10.5-point favorite in that game and is favored by nearly as much this week. Before that loss, the Bills had won four in a row against the Jets with their last two home wins against New York coming by at least 10 points. Meanwhile, the Jets are coming off a tough road loss against the Vikings. They’re still in the mix for a playoff spot and are 4-2 SU on the road this season. However, none of those road wins came against a team with a winning record, while the Jets have failed to beat the spread in road losses against the Patriots and Vikings in recent weeks.
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Browns at Bengals
ATS Record: Browns 6-6, Bengals 9-3
O/U Record: Browns 7-4-1, Bengals 4-7-1
With last week’s win over the Chiefs, the Bengals have won four in a row and might be the hottest team in the NFL right now. They’re surely the best team ATS, going 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games. They’ve even covered in their last three games being favored by six points or more. Plus, Cincy’s Week 1 disaster is the only time the Bengals have lost at home. But the Browns have won two in a row and got Deshaun Watson back last week. Cleveland is also a respectable 3-4 SU this year as an underdog. Equally important, the Browns have owned the Bengals in recent years, beating them 32-13 earlier this season to win eight of their last nine head-to-head games with Cincinnati.
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Texans at Cowboys
ATS Record: Texans 4-7-1, Cowboys 8-4
O/U Record: Texans 4-8, Cowboys 5-6-1
The Cowboys are aiming for their fourth straight win this week when they host their in-state rivals. Oddly enough, this will be the third straight week Dallas is a double-digit favorite. They failed to cover 10 points against the Giants two weeks ago but crushed the Colts, 54-19, last week. That being said, 17 points is a big spread for an NFL game. Of course, the Texans have lost seven in a row and gone 1-6 ATS during that stretch. Of those seven losses, five have come by double digits, although only one has come by more than 17 points. Ironically, the only game during that stretch that Houston lost by more than 17 points is also the only game in which the Texans scored at least 20 points, as they’ve been held to 17 points or fewer in six straight games.
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Vikings at Lions
ATS Record: Vikings 6-5-1, Lions 8-4
O/U Record: Vikings 7-5, Lions 8-4
The oddsmakers are finally showing the Lions some respect, making them slight home favorites against the 10-2 Vikings. In the last five weeks, Dan Campbell’s team is 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS. Detroit is also 4-2 O/U over the last six weeks, averaging 28.2 points per game during that stretch. Of course, the Vikings have bounced back nicely with back-to-back wins after that embarrassing loss to the Cowboys. That remains Minnesota’s only loss since Week 2. This will be just the fourth time the Vikings are underdogs, losing two of the other three games. However, recent history is on Minnesota’s side, as the Vikings have won eight of the last nine games in this rivalry, although they did lose last year’s trip to Detroit.
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Jaguars at Titans
ATS Record: Jaguars 4-8, Titans 8-4
O/U Record: Jaguars 6-6, Titans 4-8
At 7-5, the Titans have a comfortable lead atop the AFC South, although they would probably prefer not to lose their third straight game this week. The good news is they’ve won their last eight home games against the Jaguars. They also haven’t lost as a home favorite since Week 1. As for the Jags, they’re heading for another lost season after last week’s 40-14 loss in Detroit, dropping them to 4-8 on the season. Jacksonville is also 1-5 SU and 1-5 ATS on the road this season with that only one being that shocking win over the Chargers back in Week 3.
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Eagles at Giants
ATS Record: Eagles 7-5, Giants 9-3
O/U Record: Eagles 7-4-1, Giants 4-7-1
The home team has won the last four games in this rivalry, so don’t dismiss the Giants despite last week’s disappointing tie with Washington, giving the G-Men a three-game winless streak. Also, the Giants are 7-1 ATS as an underdog with two wins and a tie in the three games that they’ve been home underdogs. Of course, the Eagles have won three in a row since their only loss of the season and have covered back-to-back games since that 17-16 win over the Colts three weeks ago. But while the Eagles are 11-1 SU on the season, Philly’s dirty little secret is that they are just 1-4 ATS on the road.
Ravens at Steelers
ATS Record: Ravens 4-7-1, Steelers 6-5-1
O/U Record: Ravens 4-8, Steelers 5-7
Lamar Jackson’s injury isn’t season-ending, but there’s no certainty that he’ll be healthy enough to play this week. It should also be noted that Baltimore has lost three in a row ATS and scored 13 points or fewer in two of those games. Meanwhile, the Steelers have started to come alive, winning three of their last four games since their bye week. The Pittsburgh defense has led the way, keeping five of their last seven opponents to 18 points or fewer. The Steelers have also won the last four games in this rivalry with each game being decided by five points or fewer.
Chiefs at Broncos
ATS Record: Chiefs 5-7, Broncos 4-8
O/U Record: Chiefs 5-7, Broncos 1-11
Things continue to look ugly for the Broncos and their offense. They’ve lost four in a row, averaging just 11.3 points per game during that stretch after not scoring a touchdown last week. Even at home, they’re just 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS. That makes this a particularly bad time to be playing the Chiefs, to whom they have lost 13 consecutive meetings. Of those 13 losses, seven have come by at least 10 points. To be fair, the Chiefs haven’t always been reliable at covering spreads this year. In fact, they are just 1-7 ATS against other AFC teams. They are also just 3-3 ATS on the road this year.
Buccaneers at 49ers
ATS Record: Buccaneers 3-8-1, 49ers 7-5
O/U Record: Buccaneers 2-10, 49ers 5-7
The Bucs managed to save face with a late comeback on Monday against the Saints, getting them to 6-6 and keeping them atop the NFC South. However, they head back on the road this week having lost their last three road games despite being favored in all three. In fact, this will be the first time the Bucs are underdogs in a game. Of course, Tampa is one of the most reliable teams in the NFL in another area, going 2-10 O/U this season. On the other side, San Francisco’s five-game winning streak is now in the hands of rookie QB Brock Purdy. The good news is the San Francisco defense is allowing just 11.4 points per game during those five wins, helping make the 49ers 4-1 ATS during that stretch. Under Kyle Shanahan, the 49ers are 18-5 ATS whenever they’ve won at least four of their last six games ATS.
Panthers at Seahawks
ATS Record: Panthers 6-6, Seahawks 6-6
O/U Record: Panthers 4-8, Seahawks 7-5
The Seahawks managed to avoid a three-game losing streak with last week’s win over the Rams, although they’ve still lost three in a row ATS. Yet, Seattle is very much in the playoff hunt and Pete Carroll is 23-9 after two or more consecutive ATS losses. However, the Seahawks are just 1-3 ATS this season when they’ve been favored. As for the Panthers, they won three straight and five of six ATS prior to last week’s bye. That said, Carolina is winless SU on the road this season.
Dolphins at Chargers
ATS Record: Dolphins 6-6, Chargers 7-5
O/U Record: Dolphins 6-6, Chargers 6-6
Both of these teams are coming off a loss with the Chargers actually losing three of their last four games to put their playoff hopes in jeopardy. In fact, the Chargers have struggled so much that they’re home underdogs this week. The good news is Los Angeles is 3-1 ATS as an underdog this season but 0-4 SU. As for the Dolphins, they lost on the West Coast last week and immediately have to go back. Of course, they had won five in a row before last week’s loss to the 49ers, so they might be able to bounce back quickly. However, they’ve failed to cover the spread in their other three games as a road favorite this year.
Patriots at Cardinals
ATS Record: Patriots 6-5-1, Cardinals 6-6
O/U Record: Patriots 5-7, Cardinals 7-5
New England’s playoff chances have taken a hit with back-to-back losses that have dropped the Pats to 6-6. Nevertheless, they opened the week as a slight road favorite for Monday’s game. Bill Belichick’s team is actually 4-1-1 ATS as a favorite this season. That said, the Cardinals have gone 24-12 ATS as an underdog under Kliff Kingsbury, though the Cardinals are just 2-3 ATS as a home underdog this year. They’ve also lost four of their last five games SU and don’t have much of a path to the playoffs now.
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BetQL subscribers get more betting trends and all of our best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every pick. Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of this week's best NFL bets, plus what the model is projecting for every NBA, NHL, college football and college basketball game! Start your free trial today!