The NFL season rolls into Week 14, and that means another week of tough decisions for bettors. To help you make the best bets this week, the BetQL editors have picked a few of their favorite NFL bets below using key trends and the BetQL NFL model's data.
One trend to note is that the BetQL NFL model is on a roll, going 178-125 (59%) on all picks in the last 30 days for a total return of $1,029 on $100 bets! BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every game.
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Dan Karpuc: Vikings +2 at Lions
The Vikings (10-2) are underdogs in Detroit against the Lions (5-7) this week. This is certainly one of the most curious lines of the season and I’m definitely not going to trust the Lions coming off a 40-14 win over the Jaguars. Sure, Detroit has a lot of weapons and their offense has been fun to watch, but this Vikings team has proven to be one of the best teams in the NFL with the exception of a 40-3 loss against the Cowboys in Week 11. Other than that, Kirk Cousins, Justin Jefferson, Dalvin Cook and Co. have been one of the most trustworthy teams in the league since Week 6. Since then, they’ve lost against the spread that one time. Once. Give me the Vikings to cover and also get the win against a clearly inferior team.
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Kate Constable: Bengals 1H -3.5 vs. Browns
This is a great revenge spot for the Bengals, who lost to the Browns in Week 8. That is actually Cincinnati’s only loss in the last six games. Since that loss, Joe Burrow and the Bengals offense have looked nearly unstoppable and I like them to get out to a good start in this game. They’ve covered the first-half spread in their last three home games, and the last time they trailed at the half at home was in Week 1 against the Steelers. On the Browns side, Deshaun Watson wasn’t able to get anything going offensively in his first game back last week, and I think he’s going to be slow out of the gates again, especially on the road in a hostile environment.
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Lucy Burdge: Buccaneers +3.5 at 49ers
The Buccaneers are coming off a huge comeback win over the Saints and have won three of their last four games despite covering in just one of those games. I think they can take that momentum into San Francisco and cover this spread and maybe even get the win over the 49ers. Tom Brady will want to have a huge game against his hometown team, so I'll take Brady +3.5 against Brock Purdy.
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Brad Pinkerton: Titans -3.5 vs. Jaguars
The Jags are 1-5 ATS on the road this season after last week's ugly, 40-14 loss at Detroit. Things won't get any easier at Tennessee with the Titans 4-1 ATS as favorites this season. I'd like to hold out and see if I can get Titans -3, but I'm fine with taking -3.5 now given that this spread could widen quickly if Jags QB Trevor Lawrence (toe) is ruled out.
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MORE NFL: THIS WEEK’S BETTING GUIDE | PLAYER PROPS
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