Panthers at Bears: TNF Best Bets For Week 10

Panthers at Bears: Week 10 Betting Preview

The Bears are -3.5 favorites over the Panthers, and the line has been moving since it opened. The game will be streamed on Amazon Prime at 8:15 p.m. ET at Soldier Field in Chicago.

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Panthers vs. Bears: Live Week 10 Odds

Carolina Panthers Week 10 Outlook

Well, this should be another wonderful primetime experience. The NFL really loves their fans, I'll tell you. Carolina is 1-7 on the season, one of the worst teams in the NFL. It has not been a fun season for fans who had hoped No. 1-overall pick Bryce Young could be the next Cam Newton, but that has not been the case at all.

The Panthers rank 31st out of 32 teams in yards per play, gaining a measly 4.2 every time they snap the ball. They have virtually no big-play threat down the field, or in the running game, and it's extremely rare that they do make a splash play on offense. It's been ugly, and Young has looked like the proverbial deer in the headlights operating this offense.

The defense has probably been slightly better than the offense overall, but they still have serious issues. Perhaps the most concerning is their inability to stop opponents in the red zone, where they are allowing points a whopping 75% of the time. That ranks 31st in the NFL, so they have not been able to prevent anyone from scoring, and turnovers have been few and far between.

Carolina is just 1-4 ATS in their last five games, and have only covered in the one game they have won in that span, which was a 15-13 victory at home against the Houston Texans as +3.5 dogs.

Chicago Bears Week 10 Outlook

Again, praise be to the NFL for giving us only the best teams in the island games. Chicago is 2-7 on the season, also one of the league's most pathetic teams. Fans had hoped that they could compete for a playoff spot this year, with an easier schedule and an improved team that added WR D.J. Moore (from the Panthers) to give QB Justin Fields a No. 1 receiver. Unfortunately, as is always the case with this franchise, they have been a massive disappointment.

The offense has been less than impressive, and Fields has seemingly proved that he is not the QB to lead this team forward. Of course, he hasn't had a ton of help from an offensive line that ranks 27th in sacks allowed, giving up an average of 3.3 per game. It is the most important part of any offense, and even with the selection of Darnell Wright in the first round, has been neglected for a long time.

Still, they haven't been the worst part of this team. The defense is beyond terrible, ranking dead last in multiple important categories. For a team that is led by a defensive-minded head coach in Matt Eberflus, this should be unacceptable, but that isn't the case with the Bears. They rank 32nd out of 32 teams in sacks per game, defensive red-zone efficiency and third-down conversion percentage. Chicago is getting just 1.1 sacks per game, allows points on 75% of opponents' red zone trips, and allows opponents to convert 48.7% of their third-down attempts. In other words, it's been a total disaster.

NFL Expert Picks For Panthers at Bears

Matt Horner: Panthers +3.5 (-115, BetMGM)

I fully expect this to be another low-scoring, ugly Thursday affair. Two bottom-five QBs will go at it between Bryce Young and Tyson Bagent, and I don’t see a very large difference between these two teams. The Bears were very lucky to cover against New Orleans last week with Bagent turning the ball over four times, but that says more about the Saints' ineptness. Meanwhile, the Panthers played well against Indy despite the box score. Young threw two pick-6s, killing his team and making it seem like more of a blowout than it was. I have to believe he isn’t going to do that again, especially against a Chicago defense ranked 30th DVOA vs. the pass. I’ll take the +3.5 in a game with a total below 40.

Kate Constable: Panthers +3.5 (-115, BetMGM) 

Can you make a strong case as to why the Bears should be laying over a field goal? I can’t. I know Carolina has been bad this season, but news flash, so has Chicago. Maybe this line is suggesting that Justin Fields could make his return on Thursday, but I’m not sure the Bears should rush him back considering they’re not playing for much at this point. Tyson Bagent can’t hold on to the ball, throwing three TDs to six INTs in his three starts, including three picks last weekend. Again, I know Young also had costly turnovers last week, but he was still picked No. 1 overall for a reason. With these teams being equally bad on both sides of the ball, and because Chicago didn’t cover in its only other game as a favorite this season, I’ll take the points with the Panthers. 

Lucy Burdge: Panthers +3.5 (-115, BetMGM)

The Panthers might be 1-7 SU and 1-6-1 ATS, but if they are ever going to cover another spread I see them getting it done here against the Bears. The Bears are 1-2-1 ATS at home and are 1-3 SU at home. And a BetQL trend that works for them here is that Matt Eberflus is 0-7 ATS after one or more consecutive covers while coaching Chicago. Give me the Panthers to cover here.

Dan Karpuc: Under 40.5 (-110, BetMGM)

The Panthers (1-7). The Bears (2-7). Short week. Thursday Night Football. Gross. Both of these teams stink and have been inefficient offensively, ranking near the bottom in Offensive DVOA. While both squads also rank near the bottom in Defensive DVOA, there’s a lack of offensive firepower that’s obvious on both sides. Even if Justin Fields returns for the Bears, I have absolutely no faith in Chicago being able to protect him or help him move the ball down the field consistently. Give me the under in a game I’m definitely not going to watch!

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NFL Player Prop Picks For Panthers at Bears

Lucy Burdge: Bears WR DJ Moore Anytime TD (-115, BetMGM)

Moore has five touchdowns this season, with three of them coming against the Commanders in Week 5. He also had one against the Broncos and another against the Chiefs. So he is due for another one, and I see him scoring once again, going up against his former team here. 

Matt Horner: Panthers D/ST Anytime TD (+1000, DraftKings)

As someone who is still getting better at player prop betting, this seems like a pretty good value to me. While the Panthers defense is ranked dead last against the run, they are actually 14th DVOA vs. the pass. Tyson Bagent threw three interceptions last week and lost a fumble, and has been very turnover-prone in his three starts for the injured Justin Fields. Carolina actually played very well last week, holding Indy to 76 yards on the ground, and didn’t let Gardner Minshew hurt them either. If you take Bryce Young’s two pick-6s away, the Colts scored 13 points. I think they have a solid chance here to get a defensive score of their own against Bagent.

Kate Constable: Bears RB D’Onta Foreman 1st TD scorer (+550, FanDuel) 

Both of these teams have struggled to move the ball through the air, but I like Chicago’s ground game to find a small amount of success on Thursday. The Panthers run defense is their weakness, ranking in the bottom five in total rushing yards and rushing yards per carry allowed. They’ve also given up 12 rushing TDs, which is the most in the league. As long as Kahlil Herbert (ankle, questionable) is still out, I think Foreman finds the end zone early in this one.

Brad Pinkerton: Adam Thielen & DJ Moore 50+ Receiving Yards Each (+200, FanDuel Boost)

You know we're in for an ugly game when you're hesitant to take a solid odds boost like this even though it's only 50+ yards for each team's top WR. Hold your nose and take it because this is a great price; it was originally only +115, and just -105 at DraftKings. Thielen had hit this number in six straight before last week's 5-29 dud, while Moore had 50+ in five straight before last week's 3-44 performance. Let's hope both get back on track here.