NFL Player Prop Values For Patriots at Cardinals (MNF Week 14)
Find out which NFL player props stand out for Monday Night Football.
Week 14 MNF Player Props
NFL Week 14 wraps up with the Patriots visiting the Cardinals Monday Night Football! To help you make the best bets tonight, I picked a few of my favorite MNF bets below using key trends and the BetQL NFL model's data. BetQL subscribers get more NFL betting trends and all of our best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every pick.
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Hunter Henry Over 30.5 Receiving Yards
With Jakobi Meyers (concussion) out, Patriots tight end Hunter Henry’s stock is climbing heading into Monday Night Football. He’s gotten five targets in back-to-back games heading into this matchup against the Cardinals, who rank dead-last against the tight end position in terms of yardage allowed per contest on average (73.33) and receptions to tight ends per game (6.92). Not only that, but running back Damien Harris is doubtful, which puts New England down another skill player. This is a dream matchup for Henry, who has the ability to get over this number with just one catch tonight. I’m going to bet this and also tease this up to the 49.5 and 59.5 marks as well to get some plus-money.
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Rhamondre Stevenson Over 17.5 Carries
With Harris likely out, Stevenson will be the man in the Patriots backfield. At .500, the Patriots (6-6) need a win to keep pace with the Jets (7-6) and will be relying on Stevenson to establish the run against the 24th-ranked defense in terms of Football Outsiders’ all-encompassing DVOA metric. As seen many times in the past, Bill Belichick’s teams want to keep the ball away from opposing offenses, especially when they have dynamic playmakers. Kyler Murray, DeAndre Hopkins, Marquise Brown and James Conner make up a star-studded Cardinals offense, so I’m expecting Stevenson to see a massive workload on the ground in this one in an attempt to eat up the clock and play the style of football New England wants to play.
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DeAndre Hopkins Under 6.5 Receptions
Over the years, Belichick-coached teams have effectively been able to limit the opposing team’s top option. Tonight, that’s clearly Hopkins, who has stayed under this mark in two of his last four games, including last week against the Chargers when he caught four of six targets for 87 yards and a touchdown. For some reason, the Patriots didn’t double-team Stefon Diggs or Justin Jefferson much in their last two games, but I’m expecting that to change since cornerback Jonathan Jones proved he can’t match up in island, man-to-man coverage. I expect Hopkins to see a ton of attention from the Patriots defense tonight.
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Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of this week's best NFL bets, including player props, plus what the model is projecting for every NBA, NHL, college football and college basketball game! Start your free trial today!