NCAA Men's Basketball Championship - Midwest Region Round 1 Predictions

Michigan and Iowa State lead the Midwest region, with outsiders Hofstra and Akron looking to shake things up in round one. Our CBB experts are here to break down all the first round games and give their predictions for who will be making it to round 2.

Michigan Wolverines (1) vs. Howard Bison (16)

BetQL has this exciting NCAA D1 Playoffs prediction for you featuring the Michigan Wolverines facing off against the Howard Bison on Thursday, March 19, 2026. Both teams are set to compete in a thrilling First Round game, although the venue details remain undisclosed.

Michigan Wolverines Performance

The Michigan Wolverines have shown remarkable performance in the NCAA D1 Playoffs, entering this game as formidable contenders. Although they did not compete in the regular season for the 2025/2026 cycle, they had a strong showing during the previous playoffs, where they participated in their conference’s postseason. The Wolverines recently had a tight game against the Purdue Boilermakers, narrowly losing 72-80. However, they also celebrated wins against the Wisconsin Badgers (68-65) and Ohio State Buckeyes (71-67), showcasing their competitive spirit. Their last five games are as follows:

1. Michigan Wolverines 72 - 80 Purdue Boilermakers
2. Michigan Wolverines 68 - 65 Wisconsin Badgers
3. Michigan Wolverines 71 - 67 Ohio State Buckeyes
4. Michigan Wolverines 90 - 80 Michigan State Spartans
5. Iowa Hawkeyes 68 - 71 Michigan Wolverines

Howard Bison Performance

On the opposing side, the Howard Bison secured their spot in the playoffs with significant performances throughout their conference season. They emerged victorious in their Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference, boasting an impressive record this season. The Bison also recently featured in the First Four games of the playoffs, showcasing their determination and skill. Their recent form is commendable, with victories in their last five games, highlighted by a convincing 86-83 win against the UMBC Retrievers. Here are their last five games:

1. Howard Bison 86 - 83 UMBC Retrievers
2. Howard Bison 70 - 63 North Carolina Central Eagles
3. Howard Bison 78 - 61 South Carolina State Bulldogs
4. Norfolk State Spartans 76 - 84 Howard Bison
5. Howard Bison 90 - 70 Coppin State Eagles

Prediction for the Game

As the game approaches, odds from Caesars Sportsbook indicate a strong preference for the Michigan Wolverines, offering them a Moneyline of -10000, alongside a spread favoring them at -30.5 points at -119. With totals projected at over 150.5 points at -116, this game promises to deliver high-intensity action. Given Michigan's recent playoff experience and their favorable odds, they are poised to become the likely winners against the Howard Bison. However, the Bison's recent performances cannot be dismissed, making this a game to watch closely. Tune in as both teams battle for a step further in the playoffs!

Saint Louis Billikens (9) vs. Georgia Bulldogs (8)

BetQL presents an exciting prediction for the NCAA D1 Playoffs game between the Georgia Bulldogs and the Saint Louis Billikens, scheduled for Thursday, March 19, 2026.

Georgia Bulldogs Performance and League Standings

The Georgia Bulldogs enter this game with a strong history in the NCAA Southeastern Conference. In the 2024/2025 season, they finished with an impressive record, showcasing their competitive spirit week after week. Their form has been solid, and they will look to continue this trend in the playoffs.

Last 5 Games:

1. Georgia Bulldogs 72 - 76 Ole Miss Rebels (W)
2. Mississippi State Bulldogs 96 - 102 Georgia Bulldogs (W)
3. Georgia Bulldogs 98 - 88 Alabama Crimson Tide (W)
4. Georgia Bulldogs 87 - 68 South Carolina Gamecocks (W)
5. Vanderbilt Commodores 88 - 80 Georgia Bulldogs (L)

This sequence of performance demonstrates the Bulldogs’ ability to take on tough competitors, making them a formidable opponent in this crucial game.

Saint Louis Billikens Performance and League Standings

On the other hand, the Saint Louis Billikens have also displayed exceptional skills in the NCAA Atlantic 10. They have made a notable impact during the 2024/2025 season, showcasing resilience and tactical acumen as they fought for playoff contention.

Last 5 Games:

1. Saint Louis Billikens 69 - 70 Dayton Flyers (L)
2. Saint Louis Billikens 88 - 81 George Washington Revolutionaries (W)
3. George Mason Patriots 86 - 57 Saint Louis Billikens (L)
4. Saint Louis Billikens 79 - 65 Loyola Chicago Ramblers (W)
5. Saint Louis Billikens 91 - 76 Duquesne Dukes (W)

Although their recent games show a mixed bag of results, the Billikens have proven they can rise to challenges, particularly in high-stakes settings like this playoff game.

Prediction for the Game

As the Georgia Bulldogs prepare to take on the Saint Louis Billikens, betting odds indicate a strong leaning towards the Bulldogs. The moneyline suggests a win for the Georgia Bulldogs at -164 with Caesars Sportsbook. Additionally, they are favored to cover the spread at -1.5 points, also at -120 odds. The predicted total for the game places emphasis on a lower-scoring affair, with under 170.5 points at -116 odds.

Given the Bulldogs' recent strong performances and their capability in playoff contexts, expectations are high for them to secure victory in this thrilling encounter, making it a game that fans will not want to miss!

Akron Zips (12) vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders (5)

Get ready for an exciting clash in the NCAA D1 Playoffs as the Texas Tech Red Raiders face off against the Akron Zips on Friday, March 20, 2026. This thrilling game promises to showcase two competitive teams eager to advance in the playoffs, bringing their best performances to the court.

Texas Tech Red Raiders Performance and League Standings

The Texas Tech Red Raiders are on a mission. They have shown tenacity throughout the NCAA Big 12 Conference, ending the previous season with notable performances. As of the last campaign, they played 20 games in the conference, demonstrating their potential.

In their last five games:

1. Texas Tech Red Raiders 53 - 75 Iowa State Cyclones
2. Texas Tech Red Raiders 76 - 82 BYU Cougars
3. Texas Tech Red Raiders 65 - 73 TCU Horned Frogs
4. Texas Tech Red Raiders 82 - 73 Iowa State Cyclones
5. Texas Tech Red Raiders 80 - 68 Cincinnati Bearcats

These results reveal the Red Raiders are no strangers to pressure, although they faced some tough losses recently. Their coach and team will be looking to maximize their performance on this significant stage.

Akron Zips Performance and League Standings

On the other hand, the Akron Zips have showcased resilience in their play, especially highlighted during their Mid-American Conference campaign. They finished the previous season displaying significant strengths as well.

In their last five games:

1. Akron Zips 79 - 76 Toledo Rockets
2. Akron Zips 75 - 68 Kent State Golden Flashes
3. Akron Zips 73 - 70 Buffalo Bulls
4. Akron Zips 94 - 55 Northern Illinois Huskies
5. Akron Zips 77 - 64 Central Michigan Chippewas

These recent performances demonstrate a team with growing momentum and confidence as they head into the playoffs.

Prediction for the Game

The betting odds reflect a competitive matchup, with the Texas Tech Red Raiders favored to win at -333 from DraftKings Sportsbook. Meanwhile, the Akron Zips are given a respectable chance with a spread of +10.5 points at -119. The total for the game has been set under 157.5 points at -116.

With both teams having shown their strengths and weaknesses leading up to this game, the prediction tilts slightly in favor of Texas Tech, but the unpredictability of tournament play means anything can happen. Fans can expect a closely contested game, with both teams eager to make their mark. Don't miss the action!

Hofstra Pride (13) vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (4)

BetQL presents an exciting prediction for the upcoming NCAA D1 Playoffs game between the Alabama Crimson Tide and the Hofstra Pride, taking place on Friday, March 20, 2026.

Home Team Performance: Alabama Crimson Tide

The Alabama Crimson Tide have showcased a commendable performance leading up to this game. In their previous season, they participated in the NCAA Southeastern Conference, where they competed fiercely and demonstrated exceptional skills throughout the games. Although exact league standings are not available, it is noted that they have made significant strides in their performance in recent games.

In their last five games, Alabama Crimson Tide has shown a mixed result, which leaves fans eagerly anticipating how they will fare in this pivotal playoff game:

1. L - Alabama Crimson Tide 79 vs. Ole Miss Rebels 80
2. W - Alabama Crimson Tide 96 vs. Auburn Tigers 84
3. L - Georgia Bulldogs 98 vs. Alabama Crimson Tide 88
4. W - Tennessee Volunteers 69 vs. Alabama Crimson Tide 71
5. W - Alabama Crimson Tide 100 vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs 75

Away Team Performance: Hofstra Pride

The Hofstra Pride have been on a solid winning streak as they head into this crucial game. Competing in the NCAA Coastal Athletic Conference, Hofstra has gained momentum and confidence from their recent playoff involvement, culminating in strong performances during their postseason matches.

Analyzing their last five games, Hofstra Pride has displayed their strength and determination on the court:

1. W - Hofstra Pride 75 vs. Monmouth Hawks 69
2. W - Hofstra Pride 68 vs. Towson Tigers 65
3. W - Hofstra Pride 92 vs. William & Mary Tribe 61
4. W - Hofstra Pride 62 vs. Drexel Dragons 51
5. W - Hofstra Pride 67 vs. Stony Brook Seawolves 58

Prediction for the Game

As we look forward to this thrilling encounter, the prediction for the game leans significantly toward the Alabama Crimson Tide emerging victorious, standing as the favorites with a moneyline of -769 according to FanDuel Sportsbook. Meanwhile, the Hofstra Pride will look to challenge this estimation with a spread of +13.5 points at odds of -118 on FanDuel, showcasing their competitiveness.

The expected total for the game leans towards an under with a figure of 159.5 points at -115 odds, indicating a defensive strategy may play a significant role in determining the outcome.

Fans can expect a competitive matchup filled with excitement and intensity as these two teams battle for a chance to advance further in the playoffs. Grab your popcorn and tune in for what promises to be a memorable game!

Tennessee Volunteers (6) vs. Miami (OH) Redhawks (11)

BetQL brings you an exciting NCAA D1 Playoffs prediction for the upcoming game between the Tennessee Volunteers and the Miami (OH) Redhawks, set to take place on Friday, March 20, 2026.

Tennessee Volunteers Performance and Standings

As we look at the Tennessee Volunteers, they have had a competitive run in the NCAA D1 Southeastern Conference last season, finishing with a total of 18 games. They are known for their rigorous playing style, especially during critical moments, and have demonstrated resilience throughout the season.

In their last five games, Tennessee's performance has been mixed but promising as they gear up for the playoffs:

1. Lost to Vanderbilt Commodores (Tennessee 68 - Vanderbilt 75)
2. Won against Auburn Tigers (Tennessee 72 - Auburn 62)
3. Lost to Vanderbilt Commodores (Tennessee 82 - Vanderbilt 86)
4. Won against South Carolina Gamecocks (Tennessee 78 - South Carolina 59)
5. Lost to Alabama Crimson Tide (Tennessee 69 - Alabama 71)

Miami (OH) Redhawks Performance and Standings

The Miami (OH) Redhawks have been a formidable contender in the NCAA D1 Mid-American Conference last season, also completing 18 games. They have showcased their ability to compete with some of the top teams and will be looking to make an impactful statement in the playoffs.

Their recent games reflect a strong upward trend, crucial for their confidence heading into this matchup:

1. Won against SMU Mustangs (Miami 89 - SMU 79)
2. Lost to Massachusetts Minutemen (Miami 83 - Massachusetts 87)
3. Won against Ohio Bobcats (Miami 110 - Ohio 108)
4. Won against Toledo Rockets (Miami 74 - Toledo 72)
5. Won against Western Michigan Broncos (Miami 69 - Western Michigan 67)

Game Prediction

In this highly anticipated game, the Tennessee Volunteers are currently favored to win, reflected in the Moneyline at -667 with Fanatics Sportsbook. On the other side, the Miami (OH) Redhawks are given a decent chance with a spread of +11.5 points at -111 also from Fanatics Sportsbook. Additionally, the betting totals suggest that there’s an expectation of over 148.5 points in the game at -120.

Both teams are bringing their A-game, with Tennessee attempting to leverage their playoff experience against the up-and-coming Redhawks. It's shaping up to be a thrilling contest that fans will not want to miss!

Wright State Raiders (14) vs. Virginia Cavaliers (3)

BetQL is excited to present you with an insightful prediction for the NCAA D1 Playoffs game taking place on Friday, March 20, 2026. The Virginia Cavaliers will face off against the Wright State Raiders in what promises to be an electrifying encounter.

Virginia Cavaliers: Home Team Performance and Standings

The Virginia Cavaliers have shown commendable form leading into this game, having recently participated in the NCAA Atlantic Coast Conference (D1) playoffs. Although their latest outing ended in a close 70-74 loss to the Duke Blue Devils, they performed admirably in the semi-finals with an impressive 84-62 victory over the Miami Hurricanes and a strong win against the North Carolina State Wolfpack, finishing 81-74. The Cavaliers have registered three wins in their last five games, showcasing solid performance amid fierce competition.

Last 5 Games for Virginia Cavaliers:

1. Loss - 70 vs. Duke Blue Devils
2. Win - 84 vs. Miami Hurricanes
3. Win - 81 vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack
4. Win - 76 vs. Virginia Tech Hokies
5. Win - 75 vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons

With a strong coach at the helm and a passionate crowd behind them, the Cavaliers will be eager to capitalize on their home advantage in this clash.

Wright State Raiders: Away Team Performance and Standings

The Wright State Raiders enter this game with a standout performance in the NCAA Horizon League (D1) playoffs. Their latest victory was a dominant 66-63 win over the Detroit Mercy Titans, marking a strong finish to the final round. Prior to that, they swept through the semi-finals with a remarkable 103-90 win against the Northern Kentucky Norse. With only two games in their playoffs thus far, the Raiders have demonstrated their capability to prevail under pressure, instilling confidence in their ability to challenge the Cavaliers on their home court.

Last 5 Games for Wright State Raiders:

1. Win - 66 vs. Detroit Mercy Titans
2. Win - 103 vs. Northern Kentucky Norse
3. Win - 90 vs. Cleveland State Vikings
4. Loss - 92 vs. Northern Kentucky Norse
5. Win - 74 vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons

As they step onto the court, the Raiders will be motivated to carry their winning momentum into this vital game, eyeing an upset against a formidable opponent.

Game Prediction and Odds

As we look ahead to the game, the Virginia Cavaliers are heavily favored to win, with a Moneyline of -2500 at Fanatics Sportsbook indicating strong confidence from the bookmakers. The spread favors the Cavaliers by -17.5 points, also at -125 odds, further underscoring their dominance in this contest. Additionally, the total points prediction leans towards an under of 146.5 points, reflecting a belief in a solid defensive display from both teams.

With the Cavaliers emerging as the favorites and the Raiders securing a series of impressive wins, this game is poised to be a thrilling confrontation, filled with intensity and competition. Fans can expect a captivating showdown as both teams vie for their spots in the subsequent rounds of the NCAA D1 Playoffs. Don't miss out on the action!

Santa Clara Broncos (10) vs. Kentucky Wildcats (7)

As the NCAA D1 Playoffs heat up, BetQL brings you an exciting prediction for the game between the Kentucky Wildcats and the Santa Clara Broncos taking place on Friday, March 20, 2026. This thrilling first-round matchup promises to deliver intense action as both teams vie for a vital victory.

Kentucky Wildcats: Home Team Performance and Standings

The Kentucky Wildcats come into this game with a solid performance in the previous season and the playoffs. Under their experienced coaching, the Wildcats finished the last season with a commendable record, showcasing their prowess in the NCAA Southeastern Conference. Their journey through the playoffs thus far has revealed a competitive edge, especially notable in their recent games.

In their last five games, the Wildcats had the following results:

1. Loss to Florida Gators (63-71)
2. Win against Missouri Tigers (78-72)
3. Win against LSU Tigers (87-82)
4. Loss to Florida Gators (77-84)
5. Loss to Texas A&M Aggies (85-96)

With a record that speaks to their competitive spirit, the Wildcats are looking to take their playoff run further against the Broncos.

Santa Clara Broncos: Away Team Performance and Standings

On the flip side, the Santa Clara Broncos enter this game with a different narrative, having had a successful season in the NCAA West Coast Conference and making a significant impact in the playoffs. Their gameplay has shown resilience and determination, earning them a spot in the playoffs with hopes of advancing further.

The Broncos’ last five games results paint an inspiring picture:

1. Loss to Gonzaga Bulldogs (68-79)
2. Win against Saint Mary's Gaels (76-71)
3. Win against Pacific Tigers (76-68)
4. Win against Oregon State Beavers (93-72)
5. Loss to Saint Mary's Gaels (67-86)

With their recent performances, the Santa Clara Broncos are ready to face off against the Wildcats, eager to prove themselves in this playoff matchup.

Game Prediction

As both teams take to the court, the prediction leans towards a win for the Kentucky Wildcats. With odds reflecting a solid expectation for their performance, BetMGM Sportsbook offers a Moneyline of -167 for Kentucky and a Spread favoring the Wildcats at -2.5 points at odds of -115. Additionally, for totals, the expectation is set under 161.5 points, also at -115.

Given the Wildcats’ compelling home advantage and previous successes, they are poised to capitalize on their momentum, while the Broncos will need to bring their A-game to pull off an upset. Fans won't want to miss this engaging battle in the NCAA D1 Playoffs!

Tennessee State Tigers (15) vs. Iowa State Cyclones (2)

BetQL brings you an exciting prediction for the upcoming NCAA D1 Playoffs game between the Iowa State Cyclones and the Tennessee State Tigers, scheduled for Friday, March 20, 2026. The atmosphere is sure to be electric as both teams look to make a strong impression in this critical matchup.

Home Team Performance: Iowa State Cyclones

The Iowa State Cyclones head into this game with an impressive track record in their recent performances, showcasing their strength as contenders in the NCAA Big 12 Conference. Last season, the Cyclones finished with a strong showing, demonstrating their determination and teamwork. In their last five games leading up to this playoff encounter, they have secured some notable victories:

1. Iowa State Cyclones 91 - 42 Arizona State Sun Devils (March 11, 2026)
2. Iowa State Cyclones 75 - 53 Texas Tech Red Raiders (March 12, 2026)
3. Iowa State Cyclones 80 - 82 Arizona Wildcats (March 13, 2026)
4. Iowa State Cyclones 86 - 65 Arizona State Sun Devils (March 7, 2026)
5. Iowa State Cyclones 57 - 73 Arizona Wildcats (March 2, 2026)

With a solid roster and a coaching strategy that emphasizes both offensive and defensive execution, the Cyclones are poised to make their mark in this game.

Away Team Performance: Tennessee State Tigers

On the other side, we have the Tennessee State Tigers, who have enjoyed a successful run in the NCAA Ohio Valley Conference. Their recent performances have been nothing short of remarkable as they strive for playoff glory. Similar to Iowa State, the Tigers also have a commendable record from the previous season and have demonstrated their ability to perform under pressure. Here’s a look at their last five games:

1. Tennessee State Tigers 93 - 67 Morehead State Eagles (March 7, 2026)
2. Tennessee State Tigers 68 - 55 UT Martin Skyhawks (March 6, 2026)
3. Tennessee State Tigers 67 - 42 UT Martin Skyhawks (February 28, 2026)
4. Tennessee State Tigers 79 - 71 Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (February 26, 2026)
5. Tennessee State Tigers 80 - 53 SIU Edwardsville Cougars (February 21, 2026)

The Tigers have shown resilience and skill, making them a formidable opponent. Their offensive plays and defensive strategies will be critical as they aim to upset the Cyclones.

Prediction for the Game

Looking ahead to this captivating game, the odds reflect the Cyclones' status as favorites, with a moneyline of -10000 available at bet365 indicating a strong expectation of their victory. However, the Tigers are given a spread advantage of +25.0 points at -116, which suggests they have the capability to keep the game competitive. Additionally, the totals are set at over 148.5 points (-116), promising a high-scoring affair.

In this thrilling NCAA D1 Playoffs game, the Iowa State Cyclones appear to have the upper hand, yet the Tennessee State Tigers are more than capable of making it a challenging contest. Fans can expect a well-fought game filled with intensity and drama—perfect for March Madness!