2026 Fiesta Bowl Predictions and Preview

The BetQL experts break down the 2026 Vrbo Fiesta Bowl between Miami and Ole Miss.

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Miami Hurricanes vs Ole Miss Rebels

From being on the outside looking in to one game away from the National Championship, Miami's proving a lot of the doubters wrong with their amazing run in the CFP this year. A lot of people thought they'd get bounced in the first round, but their defense showed out to hold Texas A&M to just 3 points. Then came Ohio State, who on paper looked like they'd just walk all over the Hurricanes, but the rest vs. rust bug bit the Buckeyes as Miami rolled to a 24-14 win. Now only Ole Miss stands in their way to a national championship game. Speaking of Ole Miss, the Rebels put together a huge fourth quarter comeback in the Sugar Bowl to take down Georgia, capped off by a last second field goal followed by a literal last second safety to win 39-34 in one of the wildest final 60 seconds in Bowl game history. With all the drama around Ole Miss' coaching staff changes, the Rebels have been able to shut out the noise behind QB Trinidad Chambliss and RB Kewan Lacy.

Miami opened as a 3 point favorite, largely behind their amazing defense, something the Rebels are lacking this season. Currently, Miami is a 3.5 point favorite, but the BetQL computer model and our experts think the Hurricanes' margin of victory will be much larger. We've got Miami as 11 point favorites with a projected final score of 29-18. Our tip, Take Miami -3.5 currently at -102 on DraftKings Sportsbook.

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New customers in all Sportsbook betting states can Bet $5+ Get $200 in Bonus Bets If Your Bet Wins! Must select token BEFORE placing min. $5 bet to receive $200 in Bonus Bets if your bet wins. Minimum -500 odds required. Token and Bonus Bets are single-use and non-withdrawable. Token expires 1/11/26. Bonus Bets expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD).
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