Top NBA Player Prop Values For Monday, Nov. 7

Top NBA Player Prop Values

The 2022-2023 NBA regular season is finally here and BetQL is your source for best bets, sharp picks, live public data, player prop values, final score projections and so much more for Monday's games! Scroll down to take a look at two player prop values you should take advantage of, coupled with exclusive sportsbook offers. Here are my updated NBA records for all picks made here on BetQL:

NBA (ATS & O/U): 91-54 (62.8%)

NBA Player Prop Totals: 20-7 (74.1%)

R.J. Barrett Over 1.5 3s Made vs. Timberwolves

I’ll be the first to say that I don’t think R.J. Barrett is an above-average NBA player and think it’s absurd that the Knicks gave him a huge extension. However, a volume shooter is a volume shooter and this is too low of a number to not take advantage of it. Barrett has gone over this number in each of his last four games (3-for-4, 2-for-6, 2-for-8, 3-for-5) and has taken an average of 2.6 wide-open 3s per game this season as well as 2.3 more “open” 3-point shots where a defender was within 4-to-6 feet on the shot attempt. 

Since both Jalen Brunson and Julius Randle are effective at driving into the lane and kicking it out to teammates on the perimeter, I think it’s reasonable to assume that Barrett should be able to swish at least two long-range shots in this matchup, especially since Minnesota has allowed opposing teams to make 14.6 3s per game (second-worst in the NBA) and a 42.0% 3-point percentage over their last three contests (fourth-worst).

Isaiah Stewart Over 11.5 Points vs. Thunder

Detroit Pistons center Isaiah Stewart averages 12.7 points per game this season and now gets one of the best matchups at his position. The Oklahoma City Thunder have allowed opposing centers to amass 27.99 points per game, the 2nd-most in the NBA. If this game stays close (which I think it will) and Stewart stays on the floor, he has a great chance to go over this 11.5-point mark. He’s done so in four of his last five games in which he’s logged 29-plus minutes. 

Keep this in mind: Stewart has taken an average of 3.9 wide open shots per game this season (with defenders six feet or more away from him), so while Cade Cunningham, Jaden Ivey, Bojan Bogdanovic, Saddiq Bey and others attract attention, he will be in line for open looks, put-back opportunities and low-post drop-offs, both of which are much more high-percentage than other types of field goal attempts. Stewart is also a 74% free throw shooter, which is solid for his position, and has taken double-digit free throw attempts twice already this year. There are lots of ways he can get there and win this one for us.

QUICK-HITTERS

LeBron James Under 2.5 Made Threes at Jazz: James has gone under his made three-pointers prop in his last eight games (+8.2 units, 87% ROI). LeBron has shot a terrible 21% from deep this season (13-for-62) and the Jazz have been elite at defending the perimeter so far this season, allowing just 32.3% of opposing shots to go down, the 2nd-best mark in the NBA.

De’Andre Hunter Over 1.5 Made Threes vs. Bucks: Hunter has gone over his made three-pointers prop in six consecutive games (+6.0 units, 86% ROI), including against this Milwaukee team back on October 29. Hunter has benefitted from the presence of both Trae Young and Dejounte Murray, as he’s knocked down an elite 42.1% of his three-point shots so far. Hunter is getting an average of 2.3 “wide open” (closest defender six-plus feet away) three-point looks per game in that span, along with 2.2 more “open” (closest defender between four and six feet away) looks.

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