NBA Betting Guide: Lines, Odds & Picks For Monday, Nov. 7

NBA Betting Lines, Odds & Picks for Monday

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Pelicans at Pacers Prediction

Keep in mind that Zion Williamson has been dealing with some back spasms, but this Pelicans team is finally back at full strength after dealing with some early-season injuries. That means CJ McCollum, Brandon Ingram, Jonas Valanciunas and Herbert Jones will join Williamson in the starting five while Larry Nance Jr., Devonte’ Graham, Jose Alvarado, Trey Murphy III, Naji Marshall and Dyson Daniels will all be available off the bench. I’m high on the Pels this season and they have a nice mix of not only young and veteran talent, but also offensive specialists and defensive specialists. Coming off a 124-121 overtime loss to the Hawks in Atlanta, New Orleans has gone 5-4 SU, 4-5 ATS and 7-2 to the O/U so far. 

With Chris Duarte out 4-6 weeks with an ankle injury and Aaron Nesmith most likely out due to a foot ailment, the Pacers are going to rely even more on Tyrese Haliburton, Buddy Hield, Myles Turner and Bennedict Mathurin offensively. While they’ve won three of their last four games, this Indiana squad is rebuilding and will likely struggle to match up against their superior opponents in this matchup. The Pacers have gone 4-5 SU, 5-4, ATS and 4-5 to the O/U to this point.

My Lean: Pelicans ATS. New Orleans’ depth should give them a distinct edge in this matchup and I expect them to roll. I’m essentially viewing this as the real start to New Orleans’ season and am disregarding their early-season results now that they’re whole. Since the Pacers play at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA, I can also see the pace-up spot helping New Orleans, who is better suited for that style of play than Indiana is.

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Suns at 76ers Prediction

The 76ers will have to navigate through James Harden’s absence for about a month and it’s possible that Joel Embiid will be held out for this game due to an illness that kept him out of Philly’s previous game. Embiid clearly isn’t at 100% health after fighting plantar fasciitis in the offseason and hasn’t been his normal dominant self this year when he has suited up. Tyrese Maxey and Tobias Harris will both need to step up as volume scorers in this matchup. The Sixers have gone 4-6 SU, 4-6 ATS and 5-5 to the O/U heading into this game.

The Suns were dealt a blow when starting power forward Cameron Johnson will need surgery to repair a torn meniscus in his right knee. In their first game without him, Phoenix earned a 102-82 victory over the Blazers in which they allowed just 56 points over the final three quarters. Expect veteran defensive-oriented wing Torrey Craig to continue to start in place of Johnson while Devin Booker, Chris Paul, DeAndre Ayton and Mikal Bridges are tasked with producing most of the team’s points offensively. The Suns are 7-2 SU, 6-3 ATS and 3-5-1 to the O/U. 

My Lean: Under the total. Both of these teams should struggle to generate points consistently and I also expect both teams to play slow based on their personnel.

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Nets at Mavericks Prediction

With Kyrie Irving out indefinitely and Ben Simmons nursing another injury, this is the nightly Kevin Durant show for the Nets. Oddly enough, Brooklyn has been better with Irving and Simmons out of the picture, beating the Wizards 128-86 on the road (Durant: 28 points, nine rebounds, 11 assists) and then the Hornets on the road 98-94 (Durant: 27 points, eight rebounds, two assists) in their last two contests. (As a Celtics fan, I know that playing without Irving might not actually be a bad thing.) Not only that, but in that two-game span, Brooklyn has managed the 5th-best Offensive Rating (118.9), the league’s best Defensive Rating (93.8) and best Net Rating (25.2). The Nets are now 4-6 SU, 3-7 ATS and have gone 4-6 to the O/U. 

Speaking of a one-man show, Luka Doncic has been absolutely amazing for the Mavericks so far, averaging 36.0 points (best in NBA), 8.8 rebounds (24th) and 8.6 assists (6th). Led by Doncic’s brilliance, this Dallas team owns the league’s best Offensive Rating. When these two teams met in Brooklyn back on October 27, he dropped a 41-point, 11-rebound, 14-assist triple-double en route to a 129-125 overtime win, so expect another huge individual outing for him in this one. Coach Jason Kidd replaced JaVale McGee with Dwight Powell at the starting center spot last game in an effort to match up better against the Raptors, so keep an eye on that if you’re betting player props. Dallas has gone 5-3 SU, 3-4-1 ATS and 6-2 to the O/U.

My Lean: Under the total. Brooklyn has a newfound desire (or ability) to play defense without Irving and with Steve Nash gone and Dallas has a slightly above-average defense of their own. I think this will be a true back-and-forth battle between Luka and KD, but I expect the pace to be very slow. Dallas plays at the NBA’s slowest pace while the Nets have played at the 5th-slowest pace over the last two games without Irving and Simmons.

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