NBA Betting Guide: Odds, Predictions For Wednesday, Feb. 15

How to back the Grizzlies and Mavericks, plus a play on the Rockets-Thunder total!

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NBA Odds, Predictions For Feb. 15

The All-Star break is right around the corner, which means things could get a little weird in the NBA over these next two days with players ready for some time off. Scroll down to see which bets I have my eye on and where our BetQL model sees value!

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Jazz at Grizzlies Prediction

The Utah Jazz (29-30 SU, 31-26-2 ATS, 34-23 O/U) play their last game before hosting the All-Star break tonight against the Memphis Grizzlies (34-22 SU, 27-27-2 ATS, 25-29 O/U).

The Grizzlies are a team that loves to run and thrives in transition. They rank third in fast-break points on the season, while the Jazz are 29th in defending in transition. On the season, Utah has given up 17.2 points in transition, but over its last five games that number has jumped to 22.8. The Jazz have also been turning the ball over quite a bit since trading Mike Conley, which is going to result in a ton of extra points for Memphis. The Grizzlies are also great at getting into the paint and scoring around the rim, another area where the Jazz struggle to defend.

My Pick: Grizzlies -8.5

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Rockets at Thunder Prediction

The Houston Rockets (13-44 SU, 22-31-4 ATS, 28-29 O/U) look to take the season series, 3-1, when they meet the Oklahoma City Thunder (27-29 SU, 35-21 ATS, 32-23 O/U) for the fourth and final time this season.

The last time the Rockets and Thunder met, they combined for 274 points. High-scoring games have been a theme for both teams with the over hitting in four of each team's last five games. Houston has given up 130, 140 and 153 points in three of those games, with the 153-point performance coming from the Thunder. Oklahoma City has the highest offensive rating in the league over its last five games, while both of these teams' defenses rank in the bottom six over that same period. With the All-Star break on the horizon, I don't think we're going to see much defense being played in this game. Take the over before it goes up!

My Pick: Rockets-Thunder o236

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Mavericks at Nuggets Prediction

The Denver Nuggets (40-18 SU, 30-25-3 ATS, 27-30 O/U) return home after a three-game road trip and now turn their attention to the Dallas Mavericks (31-28 SU, 22-34-3 ATS, 33-26 O/U).

This game opened with the Nuggets as a 6.5-point favorite, but the line has moved in favor of the Mavericks and I agree with the movement. You can get Dallas at +5 on DraftKings, which is the best number in the market as of this writing. Denver has quite a few players on the injury report, including Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon. Gordon has missed the last two games and I would be surprised if the Nuggets brought him back before the All-Star break. Nikola Jokic will be a problem for the Mavs front court, but Dallas shouldn't have trouble defending the perimeter tonight. Kyrie Irving and Luka Doncic are still learning how to play together, but that should start coming together now that they have a few games under their belt. Dallas has also covered the spread in five of its last six meetings in Denver.

My pick: Mavericks +5

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