Philadelphia Phillies vs. T.J. Zeuch (13.50 ERA), Cincinnati Reds
Okay, so this number ballooned after only 4.0 innings of work for Zeuch, but those four innings are every reason to target him on Tuesday. The Phillies went on a bit of a run here recently, but even so, it wasn't enough to get close to the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves in the NL East standings. They have a talented lineup, and they should be able to get to Zeuch fairly quickly and force him out. In his last start, he took the loss after giving up six earned runs on six hits and two walks over 4.0 innings. It was a total disaster, and he really shouldn't be starting in the big leagues. This will mark his second start, but that is only because the Reds don't have anyone else that can take his spot in the rotation at this point. It certainly isn't based on merit after that performance.
I could definitely see Kyle Schwarber taking him deep early on in the game, and Alec Bohm scoring a run as well. Just a few player props I like, but the over is also a play in the first five innings in my opinion. Check out what the model says above!
Chicago Cubs vs. Patrick Corbin (7.02 ERA), Washington Nationals
Happy Patrick Corbin day! The most profitable day of the week is here again, so get ready to build your bankroll for this football season. Betting against Corbin is basically like printing money, as he has been featured on this list in almost every article this season. The Cubs may not be a very good team, but their offense is actually sneakily underrated, and they can actually put up a decent amount of runs against poor pitching. Patrick Wisdom has the power to break things open fast, and guys like Wilson Contreras and Ian Happ can do the same. Another guy who has really flown under the radar? Nico Hoerner, whose last name sounds just like mine but has an "e" in there. He's batting .302 for the year with a .348 OBP.
Corbin actually had his start bumped back to Tuesday to give him extra time to make adjustments. He's been so bad recently, they have to do everything possible to keep him from pitching. Corbin has given up a whopping 30 earned runs in 21.2 innings over his last six starts, which is horrific. I don't care if they want to call it making adjustments or giving him rest or whatever. If he is pitching on the mound, it is an automatic play against him.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kyle Freeland (4.84 ERA), Colorado Rockies
Freeland hasn't been as bad as the two guys listed above, but he has still been pretty awful this season. The Cardinals have the offense to crush terrible pitching, with the one-two punch of Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado leading the charge. St. Louis is trying to hold off the Brewers for first place in the NL Central as well. That gives them even more motivation to step up their game against everyone they face, and they really need to take advantage when they take on guys like Freeland on the hill. They did last time they faced him just a few days ago.
In his last start, Freeland took the loss against St. Louis, allowing six runs on 10 hits and two walks while striking out one batter over 4.1 innings of work. He had been pitching well coming into that contest, picking up three straight wins and striking out 20 batters over his past 18.2 innings. St. Louis put an end to that in a big way. Freeland struck out only one batter in the loss after punching out at least six in each of his previous three starts. He has had some stretches this season where he looks competent, but has been very volatile overall with a 4.84 ERA and 1.41 WHIP on the campaign.