Week 3 NFL Public & Sharp Betting Report

NFL line movement, sharp bets and heavy public favorites for Week 3

It's hard to believe that Week 3 in the NFL is already here, the first two weeks have flown by. There were so many comebacks in Week 2 it could make your head spin, and things have certainly been wild so far. So what will Week 3 bring us? Hopefully a bit more stability, especially if you had the Ravens, Raiders or even Rams spread last week.

Not only do we have our model's best bets and expert articles, but we also have live data tracking what the public is betting, where the sharps are betting and how the lines are moving. When you subscribe to BetQL, you'll gain access to all of that real-time data, as well as the best bets and key trends for every game.

Let's take a look at some of the data from the games below as we give you a sneak preview of some of BetQL's most helpful tools. You can also take advantage of BetQL's 3-day free trial and see all of today's best bets, plus what the model is picking for all sports, including NFL Week 2. Start your free trial today!

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Line Movement: 49ers at Broncos

The biggest line move of the week goes to the 49ers vs. Broncos game, and really, are you surprised? Nathaniel Hackett and Denver have been a disaster so far, losing straight up to the Seattle Seahawks on the road in Week 1, and then just barely beating Davis Mills and the Houston Texans at home in Week 2. Oh, and everyone is calling for Hackett to be fired after just a few weeks into his coaching tenure. It's warranted, as he has made some very questionable decisions already that have really hurt his team. QB Russell Wilson looks washed up and apparently the team doesn't like him very much. This line went from Denver -3 to San Francisco-1.5, so a massive 4.5 line move in the number.

What this all means is that books have seen a massive influx of cash coming in on the 49ers. You can clearly see this on our "Line Movement" page of our website, which will show you the difference between the opening line and current number. BetQL's star ratings change immediately when the sportsbooks change theirs, so you can always count on us to have the most updated number.

See our model's best bets for this game below and be sure to check out all line movement data for this week's slate of games!

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Sharp Money: Giants ATS vs. Cowboys

Last week, we had some significant sharp money on the Philadelphia Eagles against the Minnesota Vikings, and that number covered. In Week 1, sharps had the Detroit Lions against the Philadelphia Eagles, and they covered. This week, we are seeing the same money coming in, but this time on New York for Monday Night Football. The Giants play the Dallas Cowboys on Monday Night Football, with both teams coming off of victories in Week 2. The Giants covered the -2.5 number they had against the Carolina Panthers at home to move to 2-0 ATS this season, while Cooper Rush and the Cowboys won outright as +7 underdogs against the Cincinnati Bengals. Perhaps this number is an over evaluation of how Rush played in Week 2? 89% of the money is on the Giants, but just 41% of the total tickets. Meanwhile, Dallas has 59% of the total tickets but just 11% of the money.

Therefore, sharp bettors are hammering the Giants to cover at home. This data is available for every game of the slate for BetQL subscribers, so they always know which bet the high-rollers are backing. Compare this with our best bets for this game below.

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Public Bet: Bengals -6 at Jets

People keep betting on the Bengals, and they keep getting disappointed over and over. Cincinnati has failed to win or cover over the first two weeks, and that includes last week against Cooper Rush and the Cowboys. The public was HEAVY on the Bengals last week, and they all lost. Welp, apparently that hasn't dissuaded them against Joe Flacco and the New York Jets in Week 3. A whopping 90% of the total ATS tickets for this game are on the Bengals to cover. That means that just 10% of people are on the Jets to stick with the Bengals and make this a game.

Betting against the public can be a smart strategy, though, when it creates value on the opposite side. It doesn't always pan out, so you always have to be mindful of how you're factoring in this data, but BetQL will help you make these decisions with our model projections and analysis. Find out if our model is aligned with the public:

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Register for a Fanduel account, make your first deposit and bet up to $1,000 on anything. If you win, great! If you lose, FanDuel will fully refund you in free bets!

Take advantage of BetQL's 3-day free trial and see all of today's best bets, plus what the model is projecting for NFL Week 3! Start your free trial today!

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