These 3 NFL Week 2 Underdog Contrarian Trends Have Hit 90% Of The Time

NFL Contrarian Betting

Contrarian betting is a smart strategy for those looking to gain an edge. This approach involves going against the prevailing public sentiment and opting for less popular, or even underdog, teams. The key advantage lies in the ability to secure the best lines and odds, like I'll show below. By betting against the crowd, contrarians often benefit from inflated lines on favored teams due to public bias. This favorable pricing can lead to more substantial payouts when underdogs prevail.

Below, you'll see exciting trends and contrarian options for Week 2 NFL action. Delving into the data and uncovering these hidden opportunities can provide a distinct advantage for bettors seeking to outsmart the mainstream consensus. Scroll down and check them out now!

Under Sean McVay, the Rams have gone 12-1 SU (+11.3 units, 86.9% ROI) after a dominating performance in which they controlled the ball for 34+ minutes and had 24+ first downs.

Los Angeles’ dominant 30-13 win over the Seahawks in Week 1 was one of the most shocking outcomes of the opening slate. The Rams controlled the time of possession for 39:23 compared to just 20:37 for the Seahawks and LA picked up 27 first downs compared to Seattle’s 13. The Rams amassed 426 yards of total offense and allowed just 180, most notably including just 95 through the air against Geno Smith and his stable of weapons. In this situation, McVay’s teams have thrived, as you can see above.

This 49ers team is coming off a stellar 30-7 road win over the Steelers and are the clear favorites heading into this matchup, but if you believe in the Rams after last week, this could be the last opportunity to back them at such long odds. You can get LA at +280 on the moneyline at BetMGM at the time of this writing, but keep in mind that this would be an ultra contrarian decision since sub 10% of total tickets and total money are backing the home dogs.

Under Doug Pederson, the Jaguars have gone 5-0 SU (+6.4 units, 128% ROI) as a home underdog.

There’s nothing quite like a perfect trend. While the sample size just includes last season, this Jaguars squad has come to play as home underdogs, winning all five of their games under Pederson in that situation. Jacksonville is coming off of a 31-21 victory over the Colts on the road in Week 1 while the reigning Super Bowl champion Chiefs lost to the Lions at home by one point, 21-20. 

You can grab +158 odds on Jacksonville to continue this undefeated streak at Caesars, but this would be another contrarian option since 25% of tickets and 25% of the money is backing the underdogs in this matchup.

Under Mike Tomlin, the Steelers have gone 10-2 SU (+10 units, 83.3% ROI) after scoring nine points or less in their last game.

As mentioned above, the Steelers fell to the Niners by the score of 30-7 in Week 1 and were thoroughly outplayed. Pittsburgh went just 5-for-15 on third downs, only had 41 rushing yards and quarterback Kenny Pickett wasn’t able to move the ball down the field with any ease, as he went 31-for-46 for 232 yards, a touchdown and two interceptions. The Browns dominated the Bengals and embarrassed Joe Burrow with a 24-3 win in Week 1, so it might be tough sledding for Pickett and this offense yet again this week.

However, under Tomlin, the Steelers have rebounded in this situation, winning 10 of 12 games after scoring in single digits the week before. You can find the best odds at DraftKings (+115) to back the Steelers in this contest and like the previous two options, this is another contrarian option since 31% of the tickets and 25% of the money is backing Pittsburgh to win.