Week 15 NFL DFS Value Plays To Consider
For every Week 15 DFS value play, head over to RotoQL!
Drew Brees and Jameis Winston were the two highest-scoring players on DraftKings in Week 14 and 12 more scored 30-plus points in what was a monster fantasy slate. While it’s difficult to project if a similar range of high outcomes will occur this week, there are a number of solid value options available, all of which would allow you to spend up on some studs. Let’s check out some Week 15 values.
Quarterbacks
Kyler Murray: Cardinals vs. Browns (DK $5,600 | FD $7,600)
Since Murray hasn’t eclipsed the 200-yard passing mark in any of his last three starts, he will most likely be extremely low-owned this week. Over that span, his offense line has let him down (he’s taken 15 sacks) and he’s thrown four interceptions. However, in this price range on both sites, Murray’s upside (due to the rushing upside he’s flashed a few times this year) makes him a solid GPP target in Week 15.
Gardner Minshew: Jaguars at Raiders (DK $5,500 | FD $6,900)
Minshew went 24-for-37 for just 162 yards and a touchdown in last week’s start, but added 31 yards on the ground in a lopsided loss. The Raiders have allowed 34, 40 and 42 points to the Jets, Chiefs and Titans in consecutive games and Minshew Mania might be in store once again on Sunday. It’s also worth mentioning that Jacksonville’s defense has also been torched in recent weeks, which only inflates Minshew’s fantasy upside.
David Blough: Lions vs. Buccaneers (DK $5,200 | FD $7,300)
Note: Blough only comes into play if Matthew Stafford (hip/back) sits again. The Bucs have allowed 278.8 passing yards per game (2nd-most) and even though the Lions just lost Marvin Jones Jr. (ankle) to the IR, Tampa Bay’s pass funnel defense hasn’t posed much of a risk to opposing quarterbacks all season long.
Running Backs
Raheem Mostert: 49ers vs. Falcons (DK $5,200 | FD $7,500)
In Week 13, Mostert saw 73.7% of the running back snaps and broke out against the Ravens. Last week, as part of a healthy three-headed monster with Tevin Coleman and Matt Breida, Mostert saw an impressive 59.7% of the snaps and might have earned himself lead-back duties due to his production. He took 10 carries for 69 yards and a touchdown and added two catches for 40 yards and another score in last week’s shootout win over the Saints. On the year, he’s averaging an insane 6.0 yards per carry (on 102 attempts) and 13.3 yards per catch, both of which convey his explosiveness. While he’s slightly priced up on FanDuel, he’s one of the best DraftKings values of the week.
Patrick Laird: Dolphins at Giants (DK $4,500 | FD $5,500)
Other than becoming a viral sensation on Twitter, Laird’s appealing at his price tag due to the volume he’s been seeing. He rushed for 48 yards on 15 carries against the Jets last week and also caught four of five targets for 38 more yards. The week before, he rushed for a touchdown and caught four of five targets for 43 yards. While Laird isn’t the most gifted runner between the tackles, his chemistry with Ryan Fitzpatrick has been clear. Laird played 81.9% of the snaps against the Jets and should see a similar rate against the Giants this week.
Dion Lewis: Titans vs. Texans (DK $3,700 | FD $4,700)
With Derrick Henry (hamstring) slightly banged up, there’s a chance that Dion Lewis could see additional work this week against the Texans. While Lewis hasn’t found the endzone yet this season and has only averaged 3.5 yards per rush and 5.8 yards per reception, Houston’s defense was recently annihilated by Patriots running back James White a couple weeks ago. White primarily assumes a passing-down role and there’s a chance former Patriot and current Titans coach Mike Vrabel and company check out that film and find an edge.
Wide Receivers
Greg Ward: Eagles at Redskins (DK $3,000 | FD $4,900)
Due to numerous injuries at the position, Ward could be one of a few healthy Eagles receivers that can suit up against the Redskins. Although he hauled in just four of nine targets on Monday Night Football, that volume is a sight for sore eyes on DraftKings, where he’s the minimum price. While it’ll be important to pay attention to the injury news throughout the week, Ward will be a stellar target if he’s projected to be a piece of Philadelphia’s passing game.
JJ Arcega-Whiteside: Eagles at Redskins (DK $3,300 | FD $5,500)
The same goes for Arcega-Whiteside. While he only had two catches on three targets for 29 yards on Monday, he could be vaulted into a starting role against Washington. If you recall, the former Stanford standout was a preseason monster. At this price tag, especially on DraftKings, he can easily pay off his salary if he’s involved in the offense. Once again, monitoring the health of the other wideouts is necessary throughout the week.
Corey Davis: Titans vs. Texans (DK $3,800 | FD $5,000)
Limiting Derrick Henry has been no easy task for opposing defenses this season. However, it appears that the Texans are going to sell out in an attempt to do so. Per USA TODAY, Bill O’Brien indicated that their defense is going to attempt to “build a wall” in front of Henry and force Ryan Tannehill to beat them through the air. Based on last week’s performance, AJ Brown will be a popular target from this game, but Davis is a stellar GPP play with upside who can pay off his salary with one long touchdown catch.
Tight Ends
OJ Howard: Buccaneers at Lions (DK $3,500 | FD $5,700)
While Howard’s involvement in Tampa Bay’s offense hasn’t been consistent this season, he’s had nine catches on 11 targets for 134 yards over his last two weeks and caught a 25-yard pass and 33-yard pass in that span, which indicates that he’s catching Jameis Winston’s eye. Winston is going to sling the rock every week and Howard is due for his first touchdown since November 10th.
Logan Thomas: Lions vs. Buccaneers (DK $2,600 | FD $4,700)
Last week, with T.J. Hockenson out, the Lions decided to split snaps between Jesse James and Logan Thomas at the tight end position. James started the game and saw 38 snaps and just two targets while Thomas saw 40 snaps and received four targets from David Blough. Although that turned into just two catches for 21 yards, it’s worth mentioning that Thomas caught a touchdown pass the week before and might see additional looks due to the fact that Marvin Jones Jr. was just placed on the IR. At this point of the season and out of playoff contention, perhaps Detroit elects to give Thomas a more extended look.
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Defense/Special Teams
New York D/ST: Giants vs. Dolphins (DK $2,700 | FD $3,900)
They’re facing the Dolphins. End of analysis.
Washington D/ST: Redskins vs. Eagles (DK $2,600 | FD $3,500)
If Philadelphia’s wide receivers are all slated to miss this game, Carson Wentz might be in store for a difficult time finding open targets. Washington has been awful this season, but their defense hasn’t been an issue lately. They’ve allowed 16, 21 and 20 points over their last three contests, the last of which came against Aaron Rodgers and the Packers at Lambeau Field. You can do a lot worse than rostering them in this spot and at this price considering that rostering any defense is subject to variability.
