This Star Is Dominating The 2024 DPOY Market Right Now

BetMGM Data

Every serious sports bettor knows that having the sportsbook data on where the money and tickets are going is an invaluable part of handicapping a wager. With this data, we can get a feel of where the sharps are putting their money, as well as what the biggest liability for the sportsbook is right now. I've mentioned it before, but there is a reason that Vegas keeps building new casinos and hotels, and it isn't because they are losing their biggest liability every day.

We get BetMGM's data for several markets each week, and when we see something that stands out, we like to share it with our readers. One market I saw that stood out was Defensive Player of the Year, where everyone and their brother rushed to the window to bet on one man to win the award.

T.J. Watt is not only getting the most money of anyone in the market, receiving a whopping 24.2% of the total handle, but also has the most total tickets at 18.9%. All of that money, and with the number of total tickets on him, have made Watt the biggest liability for the sportsbook in 2024.

That means that I would stay away from him; it is unlikely that they will be paying that out. His odds actually haven't changed much despite all of that love, which is another red flag if the book is fine still hanging that price of +650.

Dallas Cowboys LB Micah Parsons is still the odds-on favorite here at +550 odds, getting 9.0% of the tickets but just 6.4% of the handle.

Best Bets

Normally, I would say Watt is a good bet with the splits he has, but I never want to be on what the sportsbook needs to lose. Instead, I found a betting split that was VERY interesting from the latest data pool. Kansas City Chiefs DT Chris Jones is getting just 3.3% of the total tickets, but a huge 15.9% of the money, indicating some very large sums of money on those tickets. His odds have also shifted drastically, from 35/1 to 25/1.