Seahawks vs. Cowboys: TNF Best Bets For Week 13

Seahawks at Cowboys: TNF Week 13 Betting Preview

The Seahawks and Cowboys meet on Thursday Night Football for an NFC matchup. Both teams played on Thanksgiving with Seattle losing to the 49ers, 31-13, and Dallas beating the Commanders, 45-10. The Cowboys' win puts them in fifth place in the conference, while the Seahawks' loss dropped them to seventh.

The line for this game opened with Dallas as a -7.5 favorite, but with money coming in on the home team, that number has been pushed up to -8.5. The game will be broadcast on Amazon Prime Video at 8:15 p.m. ET from AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX.

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Seahawks at Cowboys: Live Week 13 Odds

Seattle Seahawks Week 13 Outlook

Seattle has lost its last two games and sits at No. 7 in the NFC standings. The Seahawks have had recent success against Dallas, winning four of their last five games against the Cowboys, but they've also really struggled on the road, losing their last three games away from home.

Penalties and turnovers have been some of Seattle's biggest issues over the last few weeks. They turned the ball over once and were flagged 12 times for 130 yards in Week 11 against the Rams. Last weekend against the 49ers, Seattle only surrendered 39 penalty yards but had two turnovers. If the Seahawks can't fix those issues on Thursday, there's no way they're going to win the game because Dallas ranks third in the league in interceptions (12) and first in interceptions returned for touchdowns (5).

Geno Smith was dealing with an elbow injury last weekend, so keep an eye on his status. Kenneth Walker III was also held out of Week 11 and is currently listed as questionable for Thursday. Seattle could really use him back in the lineup despite rookie RB Zach Charbonnet taking over the workload. The Seahawks offense has stalled over the last few weeks, failing to score an offensive touchdown in its last seven quarters. The offense has also only found the end zone three times over the last four games. If that continues, I don't see Seattle hanging in this game.

Dallas Cowboys Week 13 Outlook

The Cowboys have been a juggernaut at home over the last two seasons, winning 13 straight at AT&T Stadium. They've also outscored opponents 198-60 at home this season.

Offensively, the Cowboys own the NFL's No. 1 scoring offense, averaging 31.5 points per game. There are a number of factors contributing to that with one of them being the offensive line. The O-line has done a great job of protecting Dak Prescott and allowing him time to go through his progressions. Prescott has been sacked 22 times this season but hasn't recorded a single sack in the last three weeks. He's also thrown for at least three touchdowns in four of his last five games. It certainly helps when you have someone like CeeDee Lamb catching passes. Lamb went through a four-game stretch from mid-October to mid-November in which he topped 100 yards receiving in each game.

Defensively, the Cowboys are one of the best teams in the league. CB Daron Bland just set an NFL record on Thanksgiving with his fifth interception return for a touchdown this season. Dallas is allowing the second-fewest receptions (9.7) and receiving yards (117) per game to opposing wide receivers. It's also allowing the second-fewest passing attempts (29) and passing yards (188) to opposing quarterbacks.

NFL Expert Picks For Seahawks at Cowboys

Kate Constable: Cowboys -8.5 (-110, BetMGM)

The knock against Dallas is that all eight of its wins this year have come against teams with a losing record. That said, it's done it in dominating fashion, outscoring its last three opponents by a combined score of 127-37. At 6-5, Seattle is barely above .500 and has really struggled taking care of the ball, which is something that this Cowboys' defense will take advantage of. The Seahawks pass defense ranks in the bottom 10 in a number of different categories and I don't see it being able to slow down Precott and his receiving corps. I'll back the Cowboys at home!

Dan Karpuc: Seahawks +8.5 (-105, BetMGM)

First off, I don’t trust the Cowboys. Let’s just get that out of the way. We’ve seen this year after year after year. Right when they’re about to turn the corner and become trustworthy, they have a game or two that scratches heads and then they get eliminated early in the playoffs. Until they prove me wrong, I’m going to continue believing that will happen. Even though this Seahawks team has been disappointing, losing two in a row, Seattle has gone 20-5 ATS after losing two straight outright under Pete Carroll, which is a testament to his leadership and stability. It’s also worth mentioning that the Seahawks have gone 22-7 ATS in games where the total ranged from 45.5 to 49 (it was 46 as of Monday afternoon).

Lucy Burdge: Over 47 (-120, BetMGM)

Yes, the under hits quite a bit on Thursday Night Football, but the Cowboys have been putting up massive points, scoring 40-plus in two of their last three games and averaging 31.5 points per game on the season. They’re also 4-1 on the O/U at home, and the Seahawks have hit the over in two of their last three games. So I think between these two teams they can hit the over here.

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NFL Player Prop Picks For Seahawks at Cowboys

Kate Constable: Cowboys RB Tony Pollard o19.5 rec yds (-110, DraftKings)

The Seahawk are bottom-10 in targets (7.1), receptions (5.3), receiving yards (41) and yards per reception (7.9) allowed to opposing running backs. Seattle allowed Christian McCaffrey 25 receiving yards last week, 28 to Darrell Henderson in Week 11 and 161 (!) combined to Brian Robinson Jr. and Antonio Gibson in Week 10. Pollard has gone over this number against the Commanders (24), Chargers (80), Jets (37) and 49ers (35), all of which rank in the bottom half of the league in receiving yards allowed to opposing backs.

Lucy Burdge: Tony Pollard Anytime TD (-145, BetMGM)

Pollard only has four touchdowns this season after starting off with two in Week 1, but his other two have come in the past two games with one against the Panthers and one against the Commanders. And I think he can keep that going this week and make it three games in a row with a touchdown on TNF. 

Dan Karpuc: Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 42.5 Receiving Yards (-113, FanDuel)

Coming off a season-high 75% snaps played, Smith-Njigba has been consistent in this range, logging 40-plus receiving yards in six of his last seven games. This is a homecoming for the native of Rockwall, TX, and childhood Cowboys fan, and the game script could work out well in his favor. As large underdogs, the Seahawks will likely have to throw the ball a lot to keep up with Dallas’ offense. After Seattle’s 31-13 loss to the Niners on Sunday, Pete Carroll explicitly pointed out that they need to find a way to use JSN better in the passing game. Given the emotional homecoming and a potentially increased role, I really like his prospects in this one.

Brad Pinkerton: Dak Prescott & Geno Smith to combine for 500+ pass yds (+100, FanDuel)

This is a great TNF odds boost from FanDuel for both QBs to combine for 500+ passing yards, boosted from -150 to +100. The prop totals for Prescott (280.5) and Smith (227.5) add up to 508, putting us over this number already and giving these +100 odds some nice value. And you can get these odds only at FanDuel!