Rams vs. Cowboys Prediction

Get ready with odds, best bets and analysis for this NFC showdown

Rams vs. Cowboys Prediction

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Dallas Cowboys Preview

No one could have predicted the Dallas Cowboys would be 3-1 after four games with Dak Prescott injured and out for all three wins. In his absence, Cooper Rush has led the Cowboys on an impressive three-game winning streak. He has been with Dallas since signing as an unrestricted free agent back in 2017, so he knows this team inside and out.

In his one start in 2021, he was impressive against the Minnesota Vikings, tossing the game-winning TD pass to Amari Cooper. Fast forward to 2022 and he hasn't missed a beat. He now owns a 4-0 record as a starting QB and has won three straight games for Dallas so far this year, coming against the New York Giants, Cincinnati Bengals, and Washington Commanders. Dallas is now 2-0 in the NFC East and will travel to the city of angels to face the pretty desperate Los Angeles Rams.

While this will be the toughest team that Rush has faced yet, he's already shown he can thrive when the spotlight is put on him. Beating the Giants in New York on primetime television, while throwing another game-winning TD, leads me to believe that no game is too big for him. Rush wasn't fantastic against Washington in Week 4, but he did avoid critical turnovers and threw two touchdowns in a game that felt like it was over at halftime with how bad the Commanders are.

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5.0
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That is the thing, however. Rush doesn't have to be amazing for them to win. The Cowboys have scored at least 20 points per game in all of his starts, and that has been enough due to their great defense. Dallas is allowing the third-fewest points in the league so far, and with Micah Parsons leading the charge upfront, this is a unit that should be able to hold down almost any team. The offensive line hasn't been as good as they have been over the last few seasons, but they are only allowing 1.5 sacks per game, which is good for 5th in football.

Here's a fun trend for you: The Cowboys have covered the spread in nine of their last ten road games while winning four consecutive games outright as +3.5 to +7.0 underdogs.

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Los Angeles Rams Preview

What is going on with the defending Super Bowl Champions? Well, to put it lightly, they have not gotten off to the kind of start that they wanted to. They lost a lot of quality offensive linemen after last season, and man, that has shown up big time to start 2022.

Against the Buffalo Bills and San Francisco 49ers, it was clearly evident how badly they need better offensive line play. He was sacked 7 times alone in the game against the 49ers, and you can't run an effective offense like that, no matter how much talent you have. Odell Beckham Jr. is gone, and his replacement in Allen Robinson has been more invisible than Casper to start the year. They desperately need him to step up and be the No. 2 receiver that they paid him to be. He doesn't have any excuses anymore, and he can't blame Matt Nagy.

Von Miller is also gone, which hurts the pass rush that now relies almost entirely on Aaron Donald. That lack of a pass rush has meant trouble for the defensive backfield. Jalen Ramsey still resides in a secondary that has allowed 997 passing yards, ranking 13th-worst in the league.

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4.5
4.5
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The Rams' offense is free-falling, and there is no doubt about it, with a 30th-ranked rushing attack and averaging 2.3 turnovers per game. QB Matthew Stafford is constantly under pressure, and he's thrown six interceptions already in just four games. As I mentioned above, it is hard to seem them breaking out against this Dallas defense. Parsons and Co. will be a real serious problem for this inexperienced offensive line, and they will need to really focus on that this week.

It's worth noting that these two teams have played each other a few times in recent years. The Rams won 20-17 in 2020, while Dallas won a 44-21 blowout as one-point underdogs back in 2019. The Rams have won three of the last four matchups outright, but are 1-3 ATS this year. Their only win at home so far was against the Atlanta Falcons, but they almost lost that one, and they didn't come close to covering the spread.

My Prediction

Can Cooper Rush win four games in a row? It's possible, but I just can't see that happening against the Rams here. LA is going to be furious after that loss to San Francisco, and while I think this could be a lower scoring game overall, I see the Rams getting back on track here. The line is 5.5 at the time of this writing, and at that number, I would be inclined to take the Rams.

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