NFL Week 14 Sharp Betting Report

NFL line movement, sharp bets and heavy public favorites for Week 14

Untitled Image

Week 14 in the NFL promises to be an exciting one. Snow is falling and bets are winning, and it is the most wonderful time of the year. Welcome to December football! BetQL is your one-stop source for best bets, live public and sharp betting data, written analysis, exclusive sportsbook offers and all of the game-by-game analytics and data you can dream of.

Let's take a look at some of the data from the games below as we give you a sneak preview of some of BetQL's most helpful tools. You can also take advantage of BetQL's 3-day free trial and see all of today's best bets, plus what the model is picking for all sports, including NCAAF Conference Championships. Start your free trial today!

Note: data below was found on BetQL at 10:00pm EST on Thursday, December 8.

First Bet Offer Up To $1,000 In Bonus Bets!
New users, place your first bet with BetMGM up to $1,000! If your first bet loses get your wager back in Bonus Bets
5.0
5.0
First Bet Offer Up To $1,000 In Bonus Bets!
New users, place your first bet with BetMGM up to $1,000! If your first bet loses get your wager back in Bonus Bets
Untitled Image

Line Movement: Ravens at Steelers Spread

The biggest line movement of the weekend comes in the Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers game. Originally, the spread was Baltimore -4.5, but that number has since flipped with the news of QB Lamar Jackson's injury. He's what the entire Ravens offense is built around, and without him, they may have a tough time scoring against an improved Steelers defense. It now sits at a modest -2 for Pittsburgh at home, a number that this Steelers team hasn't seen very often this season.

What this all means is that books have seen a massive influx of cash coming in on Pittsburgh. You can clearly see this on our "Line Movement" dashboard, which will show you the difference between the opening line and current number. BetQL's star ratings change immediately when the sportsbooks change theirs, so you can always count on us to have the most updated number.

See our model's best bets for this game below and be sure to check out all line movement data for this week's slate of games!

Bet up to $1,250 on Caesars. If you lose, you get it back!
Wager up to $1,250 for your first bet. If you don’t win, you’ll get 100% of your stake back as a Bet Credit. And win or lose, you’ll also get 1,000 Reward Credits® and 1,000 Tier Credits. Enter code BETQLFULL to claim.
5.0
5.0
Bet up to $1,250 on Caesars. If you lose, you get it back!
Wager up to $1,250 for your first bet. If you don’t win, you’ll get 100% of your stake back as a Bet Credit. And win or lose, you’ll also get 1,000 Reward Credits® and 1,000 Tier Credits. Enter code BETQLFULL to claim.
Untitled Image

Sharp Money: Dolphins at Chargers Total

This week, the sharps seem to be going with the total in the Dolphins vs. Chargers game in LA. In fact, the over is the public bet in this game, getting 53% of the total bets, so we are in rare territory here where the sharps and public are aligned on one side.

The Dolphins have had one of the most prolific offenses in the NFL this season, and after a loss last week, should be hungry to put up a good performing against a bad Chargers defense. LA has Justin Herbert and will be facing a Miami defense that could be worse than the Chargers', which means a lot of points could be scored. A whopping 99% of the money is on the over, but just 53% of the total tickets, a difference of 46% (the "Pro Betting Percentage"). Meanwhile, the under has attracted 47% of the total tickets but just 1% of the money.

Therefore, sharp bettors are hammering the over to win This data is available for every game of the slate for BetQL subscribers, so they always know which bet the high-rollers are backing. Compare this with our best bets for this game below.

Deposit $5 & Get $200 In Bonus Bets!
First-time DraftKings Sportsbook Customers Can Bet $5 And Receive $200 Instantly
5.0
5.0
Deposit $5 & Get $200 In Bonus Bets!
First-time DraftKings Sportsbook Customers Can Bet $5 And Receive $200 Instantly
Untitled Image

Public Bet: Browns vs. Bengals Total

The public is seemingly going with an under, which is exceedingly rare. Most of the time, they always go after the over, but here they are going against the grain. The under 46.5 has received 73% of the total tickets in this game, with the over getting just 27% of the tickets. I guess no one feels like Deshaun Watson is going to get back to his former self any time soon, and instead will be belted with ruthless criticism from Bengals fans, causing him to falter. Cincinnati has a great offense, and against a poor Browns secondary, it's certainly a risky move here.

Betting against the public can be a smart strategy, though, when it creates value on the opposite side. It doesn't always pan out, so you always have to be mindful of how you're factoring in this data, but BetQL will help you make these decisions with our model projections and analysis. Find out if our model is aligned with the public:

No Sweat First Bet Up To $3,000!
Take Advantage Of This Limited Time Offer Courtesy Of FanDuel
4.5
4.5
No Sweat First Bet Up To $3,000!
Take Advantage Of This Limited Time Offer Courtesy Of FanDuel

Take advantage of BetQL's 3-day free trial and see all of our best NFL bets, plus what the model is projecting for college football! Start your free trial today!