NFL Week 12: Editors' Picks For Thanksgiving Games

Find out which NFL bets we're targeting for the Thanksgiving slate

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Week 12 NFL Best Bets

NFL Week 12 features three traditional Thanksgiving Day games: Bills at Lions, Giants at Cowboys and Patriots at Vikings! To help you make the best bets tonight, the BetQL editors have picked a few of their favorite Thanksgiving Day bets below using key trends and data from the BetQL NFL model.

One key trend to note is that the BetQL NFL model went 47-20 (70%) on all Week 11 bets for a total return of $1,834 on $100 bets! BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our NFL best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every game. 

Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of this week's best NFL bets, plus what the model is projecting for this week's NBA, NHL and NCAA football and basketball games! Start your free trial today!

MORE NFL: THURSDAY BETTING GUIDE | THANKSGIVING PLAYER PROPS

Untitled Image

Week 12 NFL Best Bets

NFL Week 12 features three traditional Thanksgiving Day games: Bills at Lions, Giants at Cowboys and Patriots at Vikings! To help you make the best bets tonight, the BetQL editors have picked a few of their favorite Thanksgiving Day bets below using key trends and data from the BetQL NFL model.

One key trend to note is that the BetQL NFL model went 47-20 (70%) on all Week 11 bets for a total return of $1,834 on $100 bets! BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our NFL best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every game. 

Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of this week's best NFL bets, plus what the model is projecting for this week's NBA, NHL and NCAA football and basketball games! Start your free trial today!

MORE NFL: THURSDAY BETTING GUIDE | THANKSGIVING PLAYER PROPS

Dan Karpuc: Bills -9.5 at Lions
The Bills are certainly used to playing in Detroit, which is where they escaped to on Sunday when Buffalo got hit with feet and feet of snow. After flying back home and back to the Motor City in time for this contest, Josh Allen and his weapons should be ready to hang some numbers on Turkey Day. Buffalo leads the NFL in average scoring margin (+10.7) and the Lions rank dead-last in scoring defense (28.2 average points per game allowed), so there’s a lot to like about the Bills’ upside in this spot. I expect Buffalo to take care of business and win by double digits fairly easily, as they’re a completely different class of team than the Lions.

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Brad Pinkerton: Giants-Cowboys Under 45.5

This total has been bet up to 45.5 after opening at 43, and it's high enough now to get my attention on the under. These two combined for just 39 points in the Cowboys' Week 3 win, granted that was with Dak Prescott sidelined by a thumb injury. Overall, these teams are a combined 7-13 O/U this season, with the Giants going 0-3 on the road and 1-5 as underdogs, while Dallas is 1-4 at home.

While the Cowboys have much more offensive upside with Dak back, don't forget about two stingy pass defenses in this game and the Giants' occasional offensive woes that could keep scoring in check. Each team should attack weaknesses in the other's run defense, which should lead to a quicker game with fewer possessions, in my opinion. I'll wait to see if this number drifts higher, but the under is definitely on my radar above 45.

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Lucy Burdge: Patriots +2.5 at Vikings

The Patriots are coming off of covering the 3.5-point spread as the favorite against the Jets and the Vikings just failed to cover a two-point spread as the underdog against the Cowboys in that colossal blowout loss. The Patriots have covered the spread in their last three games and in six of their last seven, plus Bill Belichick is 38-14 ATS after allowing 17 points or less in three straight games while coaching New England. With all of these factors in the Patriots’ favor, I like them to cover this Thanksgiving spread.

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MORE: SPORTSBOOKS’ BEST PROMOS FOR NFL WEEK 12

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