NFL Week 11 Sharp Betting Report

Can you believe Week 11 is already here in the NFL? Snow is falling and bets are winning, and it is the most wonderful time of the year. BetQL is your one-stop source for best bets, live public and sharp betting data, written analysis, exclusive sportsbook offers and all of the game-by-game analytics and data you can dream of.

Let's take a look at some of the data from the games below as we give you a sneak preview of some of BetQL's most helpful tools. You can also take advantage of BetQL's 3-day free trial and see all of today's best bets, plus what the model is picking for all sports, including NCAAF Week 12. Start your free trial today!

Note: data below was found on BetQL as of 8:00pm EST on Friday, November 18.

Line Movement: Rams at Saints Total

The biggest line movement of the weekend comes in the Los Angeles Rams vs. New Orleans Saints game. Originally, the total was 42.5, but that number has been bet down quite a lot. The Rams have looked like a total disaster offensively, and the Saints are still continuing to start Andy Dalton. It now sits at just 39, which is extremely low and one of the lower totals of the week.

What this all means is that books have seen a massive influx of cash coming in on the under. You can clearly see this on our "Line Movement" dashboard, which will show you the difference between the opening line and current number. BetQL's star ratings change immediately when the sportsbooks change theirs, so you can always count on us to have the most updated number.

See our model's best bets for this game below and be sure to check out all line movement data for this week's slate of games!

Sharp Money: Chargers ATS vs. Chiefs

This week, the sharps seem to be going with Justin Herbert and the Los Angeles Chargers against the Kansas City Chiefs at home. In fact, the Chargers are public dogs in this game, getting 55% of the total bets, so they are in rare territory here where the sharps and public are aligned on one team.

It's been an uneven road for the Chargers this season. Herbert has looked like himself at times, but at others, he looks like he has regressed. Injuries have mounted as usual, but that hasn't stopped sharps from taking them. You know Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs are going to get a lot of love. A whopping 84% of the money is on the Chargers, but just 55% of the total tickets, a difference of 29% (the "Pro Betting Percentage"). Meanwhile, Kansas City has 45% of the total tickets but just 16% of the money.

Therefore, sharp bettors are hammering the Chargers to cover at home. This data is available for every game of the slate for BetQL subscribers, so they always know which bet the high-rollers are backing. Compare this with our best bets for this game below.

Public Bet: Bears +3 vs. Falcons

Here we go again with my Bears being the team with the most bets on them this week. How'd that work out for you guys last time? Detroit beat us outright on our own home turf as -2.5 favorites. Now we are on the road with a terrible defense. Justin Fields has been electric, and I'm absolutely hyped to have a difference-maker QB after 100 years, but he isn't the whole team. At the time of this writing, 80% of the total bets against the spread in this game are on the Bears (+3). Everyone is on Fields and riding the train of his continued growth.

Betting against the public can be a smart strategy, though, when it creates value on the opposite side. It doesn't always pan out, so you always have to be mindful of how you're factoring in this data, but BetQL will help you make these decisions with our model projections and analysis. Find out if our model is aligned with the public:

Take advantage of BetQL's 3-day free trial and see all of our best NFL bets, plus what the model is projecting for college football! Start your free trial today!