English Premier League
ATS Record: 49ers 13-6, Eagles 9-9
O/U Record: 49ers 10-9, Eagles 9-8
Fittingly, the top two seeds in the NFC have reached the conference championship game. The 49ers are no strangers to this game, getting to the NFC title game for the third time in four seasons. Of course, they suffered a close loss on the road in last year’s game, falling to the Rams, 20-17. But that does give them plenty of experience dating back to their Super Bowl appearance three years ago. The Eagles, meanwhile, hadn’t won a playoff game since the 2018 season before last week.
Hurts and the Philadelphia offense looked as good as ever in last week’s 38-7 thumping of the Giants. If there were concerns about Hurts coming off the shoulder injury that caused him to miss time late in the season or being a little rusty, it’s safe to say those concerns are no longer there. It was a complete victory for the Eagles, who had lost four in a row ATS prior to that game. In fact, the Eagles are now 7-3 ATS when they’re favored at home. However, the Eagles were only underdogs once this season, in a loss at Dallas, and only had one game in which they were favored by three points or fewer, so they aren’t accustomed to games with tight spreads.
Meanwhile, the 49ers are making the trip to Philadelphia on the heels of a 12-game winning streak. Brock Purdy has taken the reins from Jimmy Garoppolo and San Francisco hasn’t skipped a beat thanks to a defense that’s allowed 17 points or fewer in nine of those 12 victories. Perhaps equally impressive, the 49ers are 10-2 ATS during their current winning streak. Naturally, things are a little different now that they’re slight underdogs on the road. The only other time the 49ers were underdogs this season, they were one-point road underdogs against the Rams in Week 8, winning that one, 31-14. San Francisco was 5-3 SU on the road this season, although all three of those losses came in the first six weeks of the season.
I picked the Eagles to win the Super Bowl before the playoffs started and I’m not backing down now. They completely manhandled the Giants by the score of 38-7 in the divisional round and are elite on both sides of the football. The Brock Purdy story is fantastic, but I can see this Philadelphia defense forcing him to make mistakes. Nobody has been able to stop Philly’s offense all year long and while San Francisco’s defense is elite, the secondary will have fits trying to defend A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert while also keeping an eye on the elusive Jalen Hurts, who can take it to the house every time he decides to pull it and run. Overall, the Eagles are the best team in the league, in my opinion, and I expect them to keep performing up to their elite standard. Philly has gone 8-2 SU (7-3 ATS) at home this season and Lincoln Financial field is arguably the best home-field advantage in the entire NFL. I’ll tease this up to 6.5 as well.
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49ers-Eagles Over 35.5
49ers-Eagles Under 55.5
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