NFL Player Prop Values For Week 15

Week 15 NFL Player Props

NFL Week 15 is here and I picked five of my favorite player prop bets below using key trends and the BetQL NFL model's data. BetQL subscribers get more NFL betting trends and all of our best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every pick.

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MORE: SPORTSBOOKS’ BEST PROMOS

Michael Pittman Jr. Over 66.5 Receiving Yards vs. Vikings

Even with aging veteran Matt Ryan throwing him the ball, Michael Pittman Jr. is in the best-possible spot against the Vikings this week. Minnesota has allowed an NFL-worst 208.38 receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers and even after last week’s dud of a performance, Pittman ranks 11th in the NFL in targets (107). The Vikings have also allowed the most receptions (15.15) and targets (22.38) to opposing wideouts this season. I expect him to cruise over this 66.5-yard number.

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Tua Tagovailoa Under 242.5 Passing Yards vs. Bills

Miami’s quarterback has notoriously struggled in cold-weather games. The Hawaiian native is aware that this weekend’s game in Buffalo could get messy from a weather perspective. “Could be snowing, could rain, I don’t know,” Tagovailoa said, per Pro Football Talk. “It’s a mindset thing, really, and if I’m too focused and worried about, Is it too cold? Can I grab the ball or not? Then I’m focused on the wrong things and it’ll be hard to play that way.” Coming off a terrible 10-of-28 performance for 145 yards last week in a loss to the Chargers, this is an opportunity to take advantage of him when his confidence is low in a tough atmosphere.

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Miles Sanders Over 69.5 Rushing Yards vs. Bears

The Bears have allowed 160.7 rushing yards per contest over their last three games (6th-most) and have also allowed the 6th-most rushing yards on average this season (146.3). An average of 114 of those yards allowed per game have been surrendered to opposing running backs (6th-most). Therefore, Sanders is in a great spot to get over this 69.5-yard mark for the ninth time this season, especially coming off a 17-carry, 144-yard performance against the Giants last week. Sanders has seen the lion’s share of carries in Philly’s backfield and that should continue.

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Tony Pollard Anytime TD vs. Jaguars

Since emerging as Dallas’ clear RB1, Pollard has scored at least one touchdown in five of his last six games and has found paydirt 10 times in that span. As one of the featured playmakers in the Cowboys’ high-powered offense, I expect him to get back in the endzone at least once in this matchup.

Leonard Fournette Longest Rush Under 10.5 Yards vs. Bengals

Rashaad White has eaten into Fournette’s workload over the last two games, getting 41% and then 53% of the snaps, respectively. In that span, White has also out-touched Fournette 33-to-26. Not only is Fournette’s workload much less than it was earlier in the season, but he hasn’t ripped off a run longer than 10.5 yards since October 16th (over his last six starts). Fournette’s explosiveness has not been there recently, so this is the side of the longest rush total I want to be on.

MORE NFL: WEEK 15 BETTING GUIDE

Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of this week's best NFL bets, including player props, plus what the model is projecting for every NBA, NHL, college football and college basketball game! Start your free trial today!