Top NFL Player Prop Picks For Week 17
Find out which NFL player props we're targeting for Saturday's slate
Week 17 NFL Player Props
The Week 17 NFL games will be heavy with playoff implications, and to help you make the best bets this weekend, the BetQL editors have picked a few of their favorite Sunday player prop bets below using key trends and data from the BetQL NFL model.
One trend to note is that the BetQL NFL model is on a roll, going 33-22 (60%) on all NFL spread picks in the last 30 days for a total return of $847 on $100 bets! BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every game.
Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of this week's best NFL bets, plus what the model is projecting for every NBA, NHL, college football and college basketball game! Start your free trial today!
Dan Karpuc: Jaguars RB Travis Etienne TD (+105, DraftKings)
Since the Jags traded away James Robinson, Etienne has been the clear RB1 in Jacksonville and this week he gets the best-possible matchup against a terrible Texans run defense. While he only has four rushing touchdowns this year, he’s taken 204 carries for 1,000 yards (4.8 yards per carry) and has been one of the most efficient backs in the entire NFL. Houston has allowed an NFL-worst 168.6 rushing yards per game, including 175.9 at home, and have also allowed 1.4 rushing touchdowns per game on average (third-worst), including 2.0 on average over the last three weeks. In my opinion, this prop is an awesome way to double your money this week.
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Brad Pinkerton: Bet on Justin Fields' wheels
The Lions and Bears happen to be two of the league's worst run defenses, particularly against the QB. No team has allowed QBs to rush for more yards than the Lions, and it just so happens that no QB has rushed for more yards than Fields. His TD chances look great against the Lions, who have allowed seven QB rushing TDs, second only to -- you guessed it -- the Bears with nine QB rushing scores allowed. While I'm not interested in betting on Jared Goff's rushing yards, the price of his TD prop below is hard to ignore. Here's what I'll be playing in this game:
- Justin Fields TD, +112 at Caesars
- Justin Fields Over 72.5 rush yds, -113 at BetRivers
- Sprinkle: Fields over 99.5 rush yds, +400 at FanDuel
- Sprinkle: Jared Goff TD +1100 at BetMGM
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Matt Horner: Falcons WR Drake London Over 56.5 rec yds (-111, Caesars)
Since Desmond Ridder has become the starter at QB, London has really started to shine. He has 70-plus yards and double-digit targets in three straight games, and seems to have a rapport with Ridder. The Cardinals secondary is injured and not very good in general, and I expect Atlanta to try and get the ball to their young receiver in a meaningless Week 17 game for both teams.
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MORE NFL: THIS WEEK’S BETTING GUIDE | STAFF PICKS
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