The NFL season rolls into Week 17, and that means another week of tough decisions for bettors. To help you make the best bets this week, the BetQL editors have picked a few of their favorite NFL bets below using key trends and the BetQL NFL model's data.
One trend to note is that the BetQL NFL model is on a roll, going 33-22 (60%) on all NFL spread picks in the last 30 days for a total return of $847 on $100 bets! BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every game.
Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of this week's best NFL bets, plus what the model is projecting for every NBA, NHL, college football and college basketball game! Start your free trial today!
Dan Karpuc: Commanders -2 vs. Browns
In four starts, Deshaun Watson has accounted for two passing touchdowns and three interceptions while the Browns offense has generated a total of three offensive touchdowns. Was it worth it, Browns Front Office? Anyways … this Browns team is coming off a 17-10 home loss to the injury-depleted Saints last week and it’s clear that they’re trending in the wrong direction and are already eliminated from playoff contention. While the Commanders would currently be in the playoffs if the season ended now, they need to keep performing to hold onto their spot and made the shift back to Carson Wentz as their starting quarterback for this game. Ultimately, I don’t understand the hate for Wentz, who has proven to be a productive QB when healthy, and I’m giving the Commanders a clear edge at home in this matchup.
New FanDuel users get a No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000 with the offer below!
Kate Constable: Bears 1H +3.5 at Lions
The Bears are coming off a terrible home loss to the Bills. However, those two teams are on different ends of the spectrum this year, so that was kind of expected. Thankfully for Chicago, they don’t have to go up against the Bills defense again this weekend. In fact, it’s the exact opposite. They get a terrible Detroit defense that just gave up 320 yards on the ground to the Panthers. Justin Fields might not have had much success on the ground in Week 16, but that’s going to change in Week 17 and the Bears will be able to keep this one close.
Want $150 in free bets? Sign up for a new DraftKings account, bet $5 and get $150 in free bets! Take advantage below!
Matt Horner: Jets -1.5 at Seahawks
As soon as Mike White was announced as the starting QB for the Jets, I immediately went to bet on New York and snagged them at -1. Yes, they are on the road, but now that they have a competent signal-caller, I like their chances against a sinking Seahawks team. The Jets should have much more confidence with Zach Wilson inactive, and the defense can get back to doing its thing.
Bet NFL up to $1,250 at Caesars and if you lose, they'll give you a refund in free bets! Take advantage below!
Brad Pinkerton: BetMGM NFL OGP Insurance Play of the Day
If you're not playing BetMGM's NFL OGP Insurance promo yet, you're leaving money on the table! Opt in to the promo and place a four-leg (minimum) one-game parlay on any NFL game; if your OGP loses by one leg, you'll get your stake back in a free bet up to $25 -- and you can take advantage of this promo once every day there's an NFL game!
Here is my play for Sunday, using the strategy of going over the lowest game total and under the highest game total (can only lose a maximum of one leg there), and taking the most points on both teams' alt lines (can only lose one leg here too); you can apply this strategy to any football game, including college:
BAL-PIT Over 25.5
BAL-PIT Under 45.5
Steelers +12.5
Ravens +7.5
OGP Odds: +125
Join BetMGM to start taking advantage of their daily OGP insurance promos across NFL, NBA, NHL and college football, too! New BetMGM customers also get a risk-free first bet up to $1,000 using the offer below!
Bet any of these picks RISK-FREE up to $1,000 at BetMGM! Take advantage below!
MORE NFL: THIS WEEK’S BETTING GUIDE | PLAYER PROPS
Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of this week's best NFL bets, plus what the model is projecting for every NBA, NHL, college football and college basketball game! Start your free trial today!