NFL Betting Guide: Odds, Trends & Picks For Week 17

NFL Betting Lines, Odds & Picks For Week 17

The NFL season moves into Week 17, and BetQL is your source for NFL best bets, live NFL public bets, live NFL sharp data, NFL line movement and historical betting trends in addition to our NFL articles that cover the sport from top to bottom. Scroll down to see all the best bets and key betting trends for this week's top matchups.

One trend to note is that the BetQL NFL model is on fire, going 39-28 (58.2%) on all NFL spread picks in the last 30 days for a total return of $807 on $100 bets! BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best NFL bets, including player props, with star ratings for every pick.

Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of this week's best NFL bets, plus what the model is projecting for every NBA, NHL, college football and college basketball game! Start your free trial today!

MORE: SPORTSBOOKS’ BEST PROMOS FOR NFL WEEK 17

Cowboys at Titans

ATS Record: Cowboys 9-6, Titans 8-6-1

O/U Record: Cowboys 8-6-1, Titans 5-10

The Titans catch a break because this game won’t impact their chances of winning the AFC South unless next week’s game in Jacksonville ends in a tie. But that’s the thinnest of silver linings for a team that’s lost five in a row and gone 0-4-1 ATS during that stretch. The Titans have scored more than 16 points just once in those five games with things unlikely to get better with Ryan Tannehill out for the season. Meanwhile, the Cowboys are building momentum with five wins in their last six games. But they’ve also allowed at least 20 points in six of their last eight games, going 7-1 O/U during that stretch while hitting the over in five straight games.

Bet NFL risk-free up to $1,000 at BetMGM right now! Take advantage below!

Cardinals at Falcons

ATS Record: Cardinals 7-8, Falcons 8-7

O/U Record: Cardinals 8-7, Falcons 6-9

Both of these teams are out of the playoff picture with Arizona losing five in a row and the Falcons losing four in a row. In Desmond Ridder’s two starts for the Falcons, they’ve been held to just two touchdowns and four field goals, totaling just 27 points across two games. In the process, they’ve become one of the safest teams to stay under the point total. Since starting the season with three straight overs, the Falcons have gone 3-9 O/U. As for the Cardinals, they are averaging 15.8 points per game during their five-game losing streak. Kyler Murray is done for the season, so that trend may not change over the last two weeks. The only silver lining is Arizona has gone 3-3 ATS over the last six games as an underdog.

New FanDuel users get a No Sweat First Bet up to $2,500 with the offer below!

Bears at Lions

ATS Record: Bears 5-9-1, Lions 10-5

O/U Record: Bears 10-5, Lions 10-5

The Bears may have lost eight in a row, but they can still get some joy out of helping prevent the Lions from reaching the playoffs. Detroit’s playoff hopes aren’t dead yet, although they took a huge hit with last week’s loss to Carolina. They are now just 2-2 SU and 2-2 ATS when favored this season. Yet, Dan Campbell is 13-3 ATS during the second half of the season during his time in Detroit. The Bears are also just 2-6 ATS during their eight-game losing streak. However, the Bears have also won their lost four games in Detroit, although the Lions eked out a 31-30 win earlier this season and have a chance to sweep Chicago for the first time since 2017.

Want free bets? Sign up for a new DraftKings account, bet $5 and get $150 in free bets! Take advantage below!

Broncos at Chiefs

ATS Record: Broncos 6-9, Chiefs 6-9

O/U Record: Broncos 4-11, Chiefs 7-8

It’s safe to say that rock bottom has been achieved by the Broncos after a 51-14 loss to the lowly Rams on Christmas Day. To make things worse, they have to play the Chiefs in Kansas City this week. To their credit, the Broncos only lost 34-28 to the Chiefs a few weeks ago and had one three straight ATS before their Christmas Day disaster. Of course, they have lost six of their last seven games while also hitting the over in three straight games despite being 4-11 O/U on the season. To make matters worse, the Chiefs have no margin for error if they hope to steal the top seed in the playoffs away from Buffalo. The Chiefs have won eight of their last nine games, although they are just 2-2 ATS when favored by 10 points or more.

Bet NFL up to $1,250 at Caesars and if you lose, they'll give you a refund in free bets! Take advantage below!

Dolphins at Patriots

ATS Record: Dolphins 7-8, Patriots 7-7-1

O/U Record: Dolphins 7-8, Patriots 6-9

With four straight losses, the Dolphins are in some trouble despite still clinging to the final playoff spot in the AFC. Miami’s offense has gone downhill in recent weeks, scoring 20 points or less in three of those four losses. The kicker is that Tua Tagovailoa is back in concussion protocol, so his status is up in the air. The silver lining is they’ve started to turn the tide on New England, sweeping the Patriots last year and beating them 20-7 earlier this year. As for the Patriots, they’ve lost four of their last five games and face a must-win situation if they hope to make the playoffs. Of course, Bill Belichick’s team hasn’t played that poorly in recent weeks. Rather, they’ve committed brutal turnovers that have cost them games in back-to-back weeks. Also, the Pats have a history of revenging bad losses from earlier in the season. Under Belichick, the Patriots are 10-0 ATS in revenge games when they’ve scored nine points or less in the first game and 18-4 ATS in revenge games when they’ve scored 14 points or less in the first game. Those trends would appear to give New England a chance to turn around a 20-7 loss to the Dolphins earlier this season.

Bet NFL risk-free up to $500 at PointsBet right now! Take advantage below!

Colts at Giants

ATS Record: Colts 6-9, Giants 11-4

O/U Record: Colts 5-10, Giants 6-8-1

As unlikely as it seemed at the start of the season, a win this week will send the Giants to the playoffs. A win over the Colts seems likely with Indy riding a five-game losing streak. One week after the biggest collapse in league history, the Colts scored just three points in a home loss to the Chargers. Needless to say, the switch to Nick Foles didn’t solve any of Indy’s offensive problems. One positive is the Colts are 3-3 ATS with two SU wins as road underdogs this year. On the other side, the Giants are only 2-2 SU when they’ve been favored this season. They also know they have a trip to Philadelphia in Week 18, so even though they only need one more win to get in the playoffs, they know a loss this week could make things messy in the final week of the season.

Bet NFL risk-free up to $500 at BetRivers right now! Take advantage below!

Saints at Eagles

ATS Record: Saints 6-9, Eagles 8-7

O/U Record: Saints 6-9, Eagles 9-5-1

The Saints are technically alive in the NFC South, although things look grim, especially with a road trip to Philly this week. That being said, the Saints have won back-to-back games, so there is finally some positive momentum in New Orleans. But that momentum could be stopped quickly with the Saints being 2-5 SU and 2-5 ATS on the road this year. Of course, the Eagles are coming off a loss and know they still need one more win to wrap up the top seed in the NFC. Obviously, there is still some uncertainty with Jalen Hurts. However, under Nick Sirianni, the Eagles are 8-1 ATS as a home favorite and 6-0 ATS when favored by seven points or less at home.

Panthers at Buccaneers

ATS Record: Panthers 8-7, Buccaneers 3-11-1

O/U Record: Panthers 7-8, Buccaneers 4-11

This is Carolina’s chance to put themselves in a position to grab the unlikeliest of playoff spots. With the Panthers beating the Bucs earlier this season, another head-to-head win this week can put Carolina ahead of Tampa in the NFC South and put the Panthers in control of their own destiny in Week 18. For what it’s worth, the Panthers have also won four of their last six games following a two-touchdown win over the Lions on Christmas Eve. If there’s a caveat it’s that Carolina is just 1-5 SU on the road this year. However, they are 3-2 ATS as a road underdog, so they’ve proven they can keep games closer than expected. Plus, the Bucs have lost five straight ATS, failing to cover the last three games in which they’ve been favored.

Browns at Commanders

ATS Record: Browns 7-8, Commanders 7-7-1

O/U Record: Browns 7-7-1, Commanders 5-9-1

Washington’s tie with the Giants a few weeks ago is the only thing keeping the Commanders ahead of three different 7-8 teams for the last playoff spot in the NFC. That means the Commanders can control their own destiny if they can beat the Browns and Cowboys at home. The problem is they are 3-4 SU at home and haven’t won a game since late November. On the other hand, Ron Rivera is 29-13 ATS when coming off a road loss. As for the Browns, they have nothing on the line after last week’s home loss to the Saints. All they can do is hope to avoid a 10-loss season and perhaps improve upon a 2-5 SU record on the road. Despite being the underdog in both of those road wins, the Browns have lost ATS in their last three road games as an underdog.

Steelers at Ravens

ATS Record: Steelers 8-6-1, Ravens 6-8-1

O/U Record: Steelers 6-9, Ravens 4-11

The Ravens managed to snap a four-game head-to-head losing streak against the Steelers with an ugly 16-14 win. However, they’ve still lost four of their last five games when hosting the Steelers at M&T Bank Stadium. The Ravens will also be motivated in the sense that if they can win this week, a win over the Bengals next week would give them the AFC North crown. But while they’re 5-2 SU at home, the Ravens are just 1-5 ATS as home favorites with last week’s win over the Falcons being the first time they covered as a home favorite all season. On the flip side, the Steelers are still alive in the playoff race and have built momentum with four wins in their last five games. The only caveat is the Steelers haven’t beaten a team that currently has a winning record since Week 1. But they are 4-4 SU and 5-3 ATS on the road this season.

Jaguars at Texans

ATS Record: Jaguars 7-8, Texans 7-7-1

O/U Record: Jaguars 8-7, Texans 6-9

While the Jags have climbed to first place in the AFC South, this game actually has no bearing on the playoffs. Whether or not the Jaguars or Titans win or lose this week, the division will be decided by their head-to-head game next week (unless that game ends in a tie, in which case, this game does matter). With Jacksonville losing nine straight games against the Texans, this game being meaningless might be a good thing. There has been no sign of Lovie Smith’s team giving up this season despite a horrible record. The Texans snapped a nine-game losing streak last week with a win over the Titans and have won three straight ATS. Despite being 0-6-1 SU at home, Houston is a respectable 3-4 ATS at home this year.

49ers at Raiders

ATS Record: 49ers 10-5, Raiders 7-8

O/U Record: 49ers 7-8, Raiders 7-8

Unfortunately, this is no longer the Battle of the Bay, although there should be some semblance of a rivalry between these two teams in their first meeting since 2018. Despite blowing a late lead against the Steelers last week, a miracle can still get Las Vegas to the playoffs, although it’s not likely. The good news is the Raiders are 4-2 SU at home, although only one of those wins came against a team that currently has a winning record. Meanwhile, the 49ers have won eight in a row and covered the spread in all but one of those games. San Francisco is still pushing for the no. 2 seed thanks to a defense that’s allowed 12.1 points per game during that winning streak. At the same time, Brock Purdy has eight touchdown passes and just two interceptions in his four starts with the 49ers averaging 31.5 points per game in those four games.

Jets at Seahawks

ATS Record: Jets 7-8, Seahawks 7-8

O/U Record: Jets 5-10, Seahawks 8-7

These two teams are almost mirror images of one another. The Jets have lost four in a row and five of six, causing their playoff chances to tank while the Seahawks have lost three in a row and five of six, putting them on the outside of the playoff picture as well. Seattle is just 3-4 SU at home this year, including 1-3 SU when they’ve been favored. Nevertheless, Pete Carroll is still 19-6 ATS whenever the Seahawks have suffered at least two consecutive losses. As for the Jets, they look eager to move on from Zach Wilson, especially with Mike White finally cleared to play. Despite those four straight losses, the Jets are still just one game behind the rival Dolphins, who they beat earlier this season and who they play next week, for the final playoff spot.

Vikings at Packers

ATS Record: Vikings 6-8-1, Packers 7-8

O/U Record: Vikings 10-5, Packers 7-8

The Packers deserve a little credit for winning three in a row and keeping their playoff hopes alive with two home games to finish off the season. Of course, Aaron Rodgers and company have to avenge a 23-7 loss against the Vikings in Week 1. The Vikings have also earned three wins and a tie over their last seven trips to Lambeau Field. Don’t forget the Vikings have also won four of their last five games, although the last two have been nail-biters (to say the least). In a somewhat surprising twist, the 12-3 Vikings are underdogs to the 7-8 Packers in this game. Minnesota is just 1-3 ATS as an underdog this year while the Packers have covered the spread in their last two games as favorites despite going 1-6 ATS as a favorite between the start of the season and the end of November.

Rams at Chargers

ATS Record: Rams 5-9-1, Chargers 9-5-1

O/U Record: Rams 6-9, Chargers 6-9

This will be the second time the Rams and Chargers have met as LA rivals and the first time they play one another at SoFi Stadium. The Chargers have won three in a row to clinch a playoff spot, although they’ve been a little unconvincing at times. Even in those three wins, Justin Herbert has just one touchdown pass and three interceptions, so he’ll want to get himself on track before making his playoff debut in a couple of weeks. The Chargers are also just 5-4-1 ATS when favored this year. Meanwhile, the Rams are 3-1 ATS in their last four games, winning two of those games SU as an underdog. It’s impossible to deny the correlation with Baker Mayfield at quarterback in those wins. But the Rams have also conceded just 18 points per game over those three games.

Bills at Bengals

ATS Record: Bills 7-7-1, Bengals 12-3

O/U Record: Bills 5-10, Bengals 5-9-1

Monday’s heavyweight matchup will have huge implications at the top of the AFC playoff picture. The Bills will get the top seed with wins in their final two games. But if Cincinnati wins its last two games and the Chiefs lose once, the Bengals would have the head-to-head tiebreaker over both teams and claim the top overall seed and a bye. Either way, this is a big-time game and a potential playoff preview. Keep in mind the Bengals are the hottest team in the NFL with seven straight wins, including a 7-0 ATS record during that stretch. Over their last 13 games, the Bengals are 11-2 ATS, including a win over the Chiefs as a home underdog, which is the case again this week. As for the Bills, they’ve won six in a row and are 6-2 SU on the road this year. That record includes road wins over the Ravens and Chiefs, so Buffalo has already scored road wins against the other elite teams in the AFC.

MORE NFL: STAFF PICKS | PLAYER PROPS

BetQL subscribers get more betting trends and all of our best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every pick. Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of this week's best NFL bets, plus what the model is projecting for every NBA, NHL, college football and college basketball game! Start your free trial today!