NFL Week 16: Top Player Prop Picks For Saturday's Slate
Find out which NFL player props we're targeting for Saturday's slate
Week 16 NFL Player Props
NFL Week 16 features a whopping 11 games on Saturday, Christmas Eve. To help you make the best bets this weekend, the BetQL editors have picked a few of their favorite Saturday player prop bets below using key trends and data from the BetQL NFL model.
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Dan Karpuc: Derrick Henry Over Rush Yards vs. Texans
The last time Henry faced the Texans this season, he took 32 carries for 219 yards and two touchdowns. You read that correctly. For whatever reason, he has absolutely dominated Houston throughout his career. In his three previous matchups, these were his rushing lines against the Texans: 32 carries for 211 yards and three touchdowns; 22 carries for 212 yards and two touchdowns; and 34 carries for 250 yards and two touchdowns. Those are even more absurd than Madden numbers when playing on “rookie” mode. Like the first matchup between these teams, I’m going to bet over his rushing yard number and also tease it up as high as I can with multiple touchdowns in at least a couple same-game parlays. No team in the entire NFL has allowed more rushing yards per game on average than the Texans (167.5).
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Brad Pinkerton: Target Geno Smith & Seahawks WRs at Chiefs
No team has allowed QBs to throw for more touchdowns than the Chiefs (30). In fact, the next-closest teams (Titans & Cardinals) have "only" allowed 25 passing TDs. Not only is this a prime matchup for Seahawks QB Geno Smith to do some damage through the air, but the Seahawks run game is also banged up with Kenneth Walker (ankle) questionable. Also, Tyler Lockett (finger) is out for Week 16, which should help us focus on Smith's potential targets. With that in mind, here are some Seahawks player props I'm targeting Saturday:
- Geno Smith Over 1.5 passing TDs +108 at Caesars
- DK Metcalf TD +145 at DraftKings
- Marquise Goodwin TD +290 at FanDuel
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Lucy Burdge: Tee Higgins TD at Patriots (+185, FanDuel)
Higgins has six touchdowns this season, with one in each of his last three games. He had one against the Buccaneers last week, one against the Chiefs the week before that and another against the Titans the week before that. I think he can get another one against the struggling Patriots on Christmas Eve, and this is a great price at FanDuel.
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MORE SATURDAY NFL: THIS WEEK’S BETTING GUIDE | STAFF PICKS
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