Top Player Prop Picks For Saturday's NFL Slate
Find out which NFL player props we're targeting for Saturday's slate
Week 15 NFL Player Props
NFL Week 15 features three Saturday games: Colts at Vikings, Ravens at Browns and Dolphins at Bills. To help you make the best bets this weekend, the BetQL editors have picked a few of their favorite Saturday player prop bets below using key trends and data from the BetQL NFL model.
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Dan Karpuc: Michael Pittman Jr. Over 66.5 Receiving Yards vs. Vikings (-115, BetRivers)
Even with Matt Ryan throwing him the ball, Michael Pittman Jr. is in the best possible spot against the Vikings this week. Minnesota has allowed an NFL-worst 208.38 receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers and even after last week’s dud of a performance, Pittman ranks 11th in the NFL in targets (107). The Vikings have also allowed the most receptions (15.15) and targets (22.38) to opposing wideouts this season. I expect him to cruise over this 66.5-yard number.
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Brad Pinkerton: J.K. Dobbins Anytime TD at Browns (+220, FanDuel)
This is great value on Dobbins, who rushed for 120 yards and a score in his return last week against the Steelers. For perspective, a Dobbins anytime TD is as low as +130 at other major books (don't take that price, obviously). Also, the Browns have allowed 17 total touchdowns to RBs, second most in the NFL, so this is a great matchup for Dobbins, who will be the star of the Ravens offense with Lamar Jackson out once again.
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Kate Constable: Tua Tagovailoa Under 236.5 Passing Yards at Bills (-110, DraftKings)
Tua is coming off his worst game of the season in which he only threw for 145 yards against the Chargers. He also had a completion percentage of just 35.7%. If look you back to his previous two games, his QB rating was 24.6 vs. L.A. and just 19.8 against the 49ers. While I don’t think he’s going to struggle this much for the remainder of the season, I also don’t think a road game in Buffalo with expected elements of wind/rain/snow is a great recipe for getting back on track.
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Lucy Burdge: Josh Allen Over 1.5 Passing TDs (-130, DraftKings)
Allen has had multiple TD passes in two of his last three games and I think he can do it again here against a weak Dolphins pass D. When the Bills played the Dolphins earlier this season, Allen had 400 passing yards and two touchdowns, so I see Allen hitting the over on 1.5 passing touchdowns once again.
MORE NFL: WEEK 15 BETTING GUIDE | SATURDAY STAFF PICKS
Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of this week's best NFL bets, including player props, plus what the model is projecting for every NBA, NHL, college football and college basketball game! Start your free trial today!