BetQL Editors' NFL Picks For Bears-Patriots MNF

MNF Best Bets

Dan Karpuc: Rhamondre Stevenson Over 63.5 Rushing Yards
The Bears have allowed 163.0 rushing yards per game this season, the fourth-worst mark in the league. Not only that, but they’ve surrendered a ridiculous 194.0 rushing yards per contest on the road, which is where Monday’s game against the Patriots will be played. Damien Harris is back after a one-week absence and will receive his fair share of touches, but Rhamondre Stevenson has emerged as the RB1 in this offense, especially after scoring two touchdowns last week and amassing 161 rushing yards the week before. New England won both of those games (against the Lions in Week 5 and Browns in Week 6) to improve to 3-3 on the year, so I expect Bill Belichick to give Stevenson a hefty workload once again in what should be a game defined by the Patriots controlling the clock. (The Bears won’t do anything offensively, so New England is going to have the ball a ton.) If Stevenson sees 15 carries, which is conservative in this matchup, he should easily get over this number based on the recent form of Chicago’s run defense, New England’s rushing offense and the presumed game script.

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Lucy Burdge: Patriots -8.5 vs. Bears
The Patriots have covered the spread in their last three games and I think they can keep that going against the Bears on the stage of Monday Night Football. The Bears are also on a three-game losing streak and have failed to cover the spread in two of their last three games. The Pats defense seems to have found its groove in the past couple weeks, shutting out the Lions and then beating the Browns, 38-15, last week. I think no matter which Mac-Zappe twin is at quarterback, the Patriots will roll over the Bears and cover this spread.

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Brad Pinkerton: Mac Jones Under 215.5 passing yards (-113 at FanDuel)

Mac Jones is on track to return from an ankle injury Monday night, but this is a tough spot against the Bears' No. 3 passing defense, which is allowing just 178.7 yards per game. It's also important to note that the Bears are allowing 163.0 rushing yards per game, second most in the NFL. With Jones less than 100% against a stout pass D, I expect the Patriots to attack Chicago's main weakness and pound the ball with the two-headed attack of Stevenson and Harris, leaving Jones with little production Monday night.

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