BetQL Staff NFL Picks For Steelers-Browns TNF

Find out which NFL bets we're targeting for Thursday Night Football

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Week 3 NFL Best Bets

Dan Karpuc: Steelers +4.5
After the Browns choked in Week 2 against the Jets, I can’t trust them again. Not only that, but under coach Kevin Stefanski, Cleveland has gone just 2-11 ATS against division opponents. That doesn’t bode well for them heading into this matchup, nor does the fact that Mike Tomlin has gone 44-27 ATS as an underdog while at the helm of the Steelers. Before he gets benched for rookie Kenny Pickett, I expect Mitch Trubisky to get more aggressive, which is something he hasn’t done in the first two weeks, going just 42-for-71 passing for 362 yards, two touchdowns and an interception. Baker Mayfield had a few chunk plays against this Browns defense in Week 1 and then Joe Flacco torched the Cleveland secondary at the end of their implosion in Week 2, so I expect Diontae Johnson, Chase Claypool and/or George Pickens to get behind the defense at least once. At this point, I trust Pittsburgh’s defense much more than Cleveland’s, even without T.J. Watt. Give me the Steelers +4.5.

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Brad Pinkerton: Steelers +165

While I do think the Browns will win this game (maybe with some drama), the Steelers moneyline is my play for DraftKings' "Up By 7 Early Win" promotion for TNF. Asking the Steelers to lead by just seven at any point to get you an early win is much easier than asking them to beat the Browns outright. And while both teams have a great shot at leading by 7 at some point and cashing early for you, Pittsburgh offers the higher payout, so Steelers +165 will be my play on DraftKings on Thursday night.

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Lucy Burdge: Steelers +4.5
Mike Tomlin is 44-27 ATS as an underdog while coaching Pittsburgh, while Kevin Stefanski is 2-11 ATS versus division opponents while coaching Cleveland. Plus, the Steelers (1-0-1 ATS) have been competitive as underdogs so far this season, so I think they can cover this spread against the Browns.

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MORE: SPORTSBOOKS’ BEST PROMOS FOR NFL WEEK 3

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