Dan Karpuc: Packers -6.5 (1H)
I promised myself that I wouldn’t overreact to Week 1 results, so I won’t. Instead, I’ll trust the numbers and my process. Under Matt LaFleur, the Packers have gone 16-2 against the first-half spread after they failed to cover in the previous game, and that’s exactly the situation heading into this matchup. We saw what happened after Rodgers and the Packers got off to a slow start last year; he famously noted that he owns the Bears and his record against them backs up that claim. In 27 starts against the division rivals, he’s gone 22-5 SU, completed 67.4% of his passes and thrown 61 touchdown passes compared to just 10 interceptions. I do not trust the fluky Bears victory over the 49ers in rainy conditions whatsoever, and expect Green Bay’s defense to easily contain Justin Fields and Co. Give me the Packers to be up by seven at the half.
Bet this game FOR FREE at DraftKings right now! Sign up for a new account, make a deposit, bet $5 and they'll give you $200 in free bets! Click the button below and take advantage!
Dan Karpuc: Packers -6.5 (1H)
I promised myself that I wouldn’t overreact to Week 1 results, so I won’t. Instead, I’ll trust the numbers and my process. Under Matt LaFleur, the Packers have gone 16-2 against the first-half spread after they failed to cover in the previous game, and that’s exactly the situation heading into this matchup. We saw what happened after Rodgers and the Packers got off to a slow start last year; he famously noted that he owns the Bears and his record against them backs up that claim. In 27 starts against the division rivals, he’s gone 22-5 SU, completed 67.4% of his passes and thrown 61 touchdown passes compared to just 10 interceptions. I do not trust the fluky Bears victory over the 49ers in rainy conditions whatsoever, and expect Green Bay’s defense to easily contain Justin Fields and Co. Give me the Packers to be up by seven at the half.
Bet this game FOR FREE at DraftKings right now! Sign up for a new account, make a deposit, bet $5 and they'll give you $200 in free bets! Click the button below and take advantage!
Lucy Burdge: Bears +10
After what we saw from the Packers last week in their 23-7 loss to the Vikings, I think the Bears, who beat the 49ers in Week 1, have a chance at an upset against them this week and a cover of this spread. The Bears have had a tough time of it against the Packers over the years, losing 20 of their last 23 meetings in this rivalry, but this could be the most opportune time for the Bears to at least finish within 10 points of Green Bay in this one.
Bet NFL risk-free up to $1,000 at BetMGM right now! Take advantage below!
Brad Pinkerton: Aaron Rodgers Under 259.5 Passing Yards (-109 at Caesars)
The main takeaway from the Packers Week 1 loss to the Vikings was that, yep, Aaron Rodgers misses Davante Adams. Badly. Rodgers went 22-for-34 for just 195 yards against the Vikings with running back A.J. Dillon leading the team in targets (6), receptions (5) and receiving yards (46). Yikes. Until we see more chemistry between Rodgers and his inexperienced receiving corps (or until the books adjust to this new reality), I'm hunting the unders on his passing props.
Bet NFL risk-free up to $1,250 at Caesars right now! Take advantage below!
MORE: SPORTSBOOKS’ BEST PROMOS FOR NFL WEEK 2
BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every game. Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of this week's best NFL bets, plus what the model is projecting for every college football game! Start your free trial today!