NFL Week 16: BetQL Editors' Picks For Sunday Slate
Find out which NFL bets we're targeting for Christmas Day
Week 16 NFL Best Bets
NFL Week 16 features three games on Sunday, Christmas Day: Packers at Dolphins, Broncos at Rams and Buccaneers at Cardinals. To help you make the best bets this weekend, the BetQL editors have picked a few of their favorite Sunday bets below using key trends and data from the BetQL NFL model.
One key trend to note is that the BetQL NFL model is on fire, going 38-27 (59%) on all NFL spread picks in the last 30 days for a total return of $820 on $100 bets! BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our NFL best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every game.
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Matt Horner: Packers +4 at Dolphins
Not only are the Packers playing better football than the Dolphins right now, but all you have to do is look at the line movement and bet% to figure out where all the big money is going. More than 60% of spread bets are on the Dolphins, and yet, this line has shot down from 6.5 to 4. Some places even have them at +3.5 now. Grab the 4 points where you can.
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Here is my play for Saturday, using the strategy of going over the lowest game total and under the highest game total (can only lose a maximum of one leg there), and taking the most points on both teams' alt lines (can only lose one leg here too); you can apply this strategy to any football game, including college:
GB-MIA Over 39.5
GB-MIA Under 59.5
Packers +13.5
Dolphins +6.5
OGP Odds: +195
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Dan Karpuc: Buccaneers -7.5 at Cardinals
Tom Brady and Tampa Bay are absolutely desperate for a victory, and with both Kyler Murray and Colt McCoy out with injuries, the Cardinals will turn to third-stringer Trace McSorley at quarterback. McSorley went just 7-for-15 with two interceptions in relief of McCoy last week, so if he struggles, Arizona could turn to former Lions legend David Blough, who was just signed. In other words, it will probably be difficult for Arizona to do much offensively. Based on the current situation and Tampa Bay’s absolute need for a dominant performance on both sides of the football, I’m going to predict that Brady and Co. make a statement on Sunday Night Football despite their recent struggles.
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Lucy Burdge: Buccaneers -7.5 vs. Cardinals
The Buccaneers need a convincing win, and I think they can finally get one against the Cardinals in what would be a Christmas Miracle, really. Tampa Bay has covered just once in the last 12 games and has lost outright in three of the last four, but the Cardinals really stink at 4-10 this season and they have failed to cover in four straight, so I think the Buccaneers can cover on Christmas Day.
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MORE: SEE THIS WEEK’S NFL BETTING GUIDE
Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of this week's best NFL bets, plus what the model is projecting for every NBA, NHL and NCAA football and basketball game! Start your free trial today!