NFL Week 14 opens with the Las Vegas Raiders visiting the Los Angeles Rams on Thursday Night Football, and our BetQL editors have picked a few of their favorite long-shot TNF bets below.
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Brad Pinkerton: Davante Adams 1st TD scorer (+400, BetMGM)
I think it'll be the Raiders scoring the first TD tonight over a questionable Rams offense, and Adams has scored the Raiders' first TD five times this season. You can get +500 odds on Adams to score the game's first TD at BetRivers, but I suggest playing this at BetMGM because of their First TD Insurance Promo -- get your stake back as a free bet (up to $25) if your player doesn't score the first touchdown. So, this is a risk-free bet on anyone to score first, and I'll roll with Adams.
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Dan Karpuc: Josh Jacobs Over 2.5 TDs (+1900, FanDuel)
On their three-game win (and cover) streak, the Raiders have fed Josh Jacobs and he’s amassed 109 yards on 24 carries, 229 yards on 33 carries and 144 yards on 26 carries in that span. Not only that, but the seven times that he’s gotten 20+ carries this season, Jacobs has averaged a ridiculous 143.0 rushing yards per contest. If Josh McDaniels and his staff want to keep their winning ways rolling, they’re going to continue giving Jacobs the pigskin. Not only that, but he’s been a proven and capable receiver out of the backfield as well, so that’s why I like the idea of attacking his total touchdown prop at long odds. Jacobs over 1.5 TDs is +370 at FanDuel if you'd like to play it safer or create a Jacobs TD ladder.
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Lucy Burdge: Derek Carr to throw for 300+ Yards (+340, DraftKings)
Carr hit this over in a tough matchup against the Broncos three games ago and I think he has a great chance to do it again here against the Rams on Thursday Night Football. Geno Smith just racked up 367 passing yards against the Rams last week. With the 307 yards Carr put up recently and what Smith just did against the Rams in mind, I see huge value at these odds for Carr to go over 300 yards against the Rams here.
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