The Best Bets To Have The NFL's Worst Record In 2022

For these teams, winning will be optional next season

There's no question we're going to have some bad teams in the NFL this year. For all the talk about the AFC and it's talented young quarterbacks, we have the polar opposite going on with a few organizations.

Some have made it obvious this is a tanking....oops, sorry, a "rebuilding" year, for teams like the Texans, Seahawks and Falcons, knowing full well there's a potentially loaded class of signal callers coming in the 2023 NFL Draft.

Who has the best shot at having the absolute worst record in the league? Let's look at the odds.

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Finding The Winners...Well, Losers

Over at FanDuel, Houston comes in at +350 to have the fewest wins when the season ends, followed by the Falcons (+400), Seahawks (+700), Jets (+800) and Jaguars (+900).

First, I'm throwing the Jags off this list, mainly because I love the over on their win total (6.5) with Doug Pederson, a Super Bowl-winning coach who has the ever-important task of getting former No. 1-overall pick Trevor Lawrence's development on track, I expect a major jump for Jacksonville this year. If he can look like at least a capable and consistent starter in Year 2, that's already a major improvement.

If Seattle does intend to go with either Drew Lock or Geno Smith at QB, well they're clearly showing their cards, so the Seahawks are a strong candidate to have the worst record. The Jets obviously will go as far as Zach Wilson takes them, but keep in mind there's a growing bandwagon for their improvement this season as well. From a universally praised draft, to adding veterans like Laken Tomlinson, C.J. Uzomah, Jordan Whitehead, in theory this team should at least be better than the absolute worst. Hey, maybe some of that Mets mojo can rub off on them, too.

Davis Mills actually played well for Houston late in the year, including breaking the franchise record for the most passing yards in a season (David Carr had 2,592), and Houston as a whole at least played like it wanted to win games last season. There's a feeling of a least some kind of pride from that group, which could easily lead to an upset or two over the course of 2022. They were a respectable 8-9 ATS last year, too, so they don't just roll over week after week.

In the end, barring the bottom falling out of a team's season, the Falcons just feel like they're all-in for that No. 1-overall pick in next year's draft, with the Seahawks nipping at their heels.

We know in the NFL it all comes down to quarterback play first, and you can't have much confidence in Marcus Mariota or Desmond Ridder, which is pretty similar to the Lock and Smith (which suddenly sounds like a bad buddy cop movie) combo in Seattle.

Here, the smart bets are in Atlanta and Seattle, with both expecting to find their next franchise QBs as a result of that.