NFL Playbook: Betting Lines, Odds & Picks For Week 9

NFL Betting Lines, Odds & Picks For Week 9

The NFL season moves into Week 9, and BetQL is your source for NFL best bets, live NFL public bets, live NFL sharp data, NFL line movement and historical betting trends in addition to our NFL articles that cover the sport from top to bottom. Scroll down to see all the best bets and key betting trends for this week's top matchups.

Speaking of trends, the BetQL NFL model is on a roll, going 20-11 (64.5%) on all 4- & 5-star picks in the past two weeks! BetQL subscribers can see more betting trends and all of our best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every pick. Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of this week's best NFL bets, plus what the model is projecting for every college football game! Start your free trial today!

MORE: SPORTSBOOKS’ BEST PROMOS FOR NFL WEEK 9

Eagles at Texans

ATS Record: Eagles 5-2, Texans 3-3-1

O/U Record: Eagles 3-3-1, Texans 3-4

It’s fitting that the same week the Phillies and Astros are playing in the World Series, the Eagles and Texans are squaring off on Thursday night. Of course, games don’t get much more lopsided than this one, as the Eagles remain unbeaten whereas the Texans have just one win in seven games. In Houston’s defense, only two of their losses have come by double digits and only one has come by more than two touchdowns. Of course, the Eagles have three wins by at least 16 points and are coming off their biggest win of the season, easily covering 11.5 points against the Steelers last week.

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Chargers at Falcons

ATS Record: Chargers 4-3, Falcons 6-2

O/U Record: Chargers 4-3, Falcons 5-3

The Falcons have lost back-to-back games ATS, although that probably doesn’t bother them too much because at 4-4, they lead the NFC South right now. They also won’t be bothered by being a home underdog this week because three of their four wins have come as an underdog. They’re also 3-1 ATS at home. Of course, the Chargers are 3-0 ATS on the road this season. They also had a bye last week to prep for their trip to the East Coast. But the fact that it’s November could be a bad omen for Los Angeles, as the Chargers are just 1-8 ATS in November over the last three seasons.

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Dolphins at Bears

ATS Record: Dolphins 4-4, Bears 3-4-1

O/U Record: Dolphins 3-5, Bears 4-4

With Tua Tagovailoa back, the Dolphins are rolling once again, overcoming a halftime deficit last week in Detroit. In games that Tagovailoa starts and finishes, Miami is unbeaten. The only caveat is they’ve gone five straight weeks without covering a spread. As for the Bears, they failed to follow up their win over the Patriots with a positive result, losing 49-29 to the Cowboys last week. The silver lining is the Chicago offense seems to be waking up, scoring at least 22 points in three of the last four weeks. The Bears are also one play away from being 3-0 at home. However, the arrival of November is good news for the Dolphins, who are 8-1 SU and 8-1 ATS in November over the last three years.

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Panthers at Bengals

ATS Record: Panthers 3-5, Bengals 5-3

O/U Record: Panthers 3-5, Bengals 2-6

Cincinnati’s streak of five straight wins ATS and four SU wins in five games came to a screeching halt on Monday night. Oddly enough, the Panthers have won back-to-back games ATS and have shown some signs of life after firing Matt Rhule. Of course, the Carolina defense still remains a concern despite holding the Bucs to three points two weeks ago. More importantly, the Bengals are 10-3 ATS over the last two years and 15-6 ATS over the last three years when facing teams that allow at least 350 yards per game.

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Packers at Lions

ATS Record: Packers 3-5, Lions 3-4

O/U Record: Packers 3-5, Lions 5-2

The Packers can only hope that a trip to Detroit can stop their four-game losing streak and get their season turned around. They’ve won five of their last six games against the Lions, although they did lose in Detroit last year. In fact, the Packers are just 2-3 in their last five trips to Detroit. Meanwhile, Detroit’s offense bounced back in Week 8 after back-to-back games scoring just six total points. Of course, the Lions continue to be atrocious defensively, blowing a 14-point lead against the Dolphins last week. With the Lions giving up over 32 points per game, they are a virtual lock to hit the over if they can score. At the same time, the Packers have allowed at least 23 points in five straight games, so the Green Bay defense hasn’t held up well against anyone lately.

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Colts at Patriots

ATS Record: Colts 3-5, Patriots 4-3-1

O/U Record: Colts 1-7, Patriots 4-4

Benching Matt Ryan for the rest of the season and starting Sam Ehlinger at quarterback wasn’t the winning formula for the Colts last week against Washington. In that game, Indy was a home favorite whereas the Colts will hit the road this week. The Colts have just one win in four road games this year and are averaging just 10.5 points per game in those road games. Fortunately, the Colts have been solid defensively, which is another reason why they’ve hit the over just once in eight games. Under Frank Reich, the Colts are 9-1 ATS following an upset loss. As for the Patriots, they’ve won three of their last four games despite that embarrassing Monday night loss to the Bears two weeks ago. Bill Belichick’s team is now 3-1 SU when favored. However, the Patriots are just 1-2 SU at home this year with that only win coming against the Lions.

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Bills at Jets

ATS Record: Bills 4-2-1, Jets 5-3

O/U Record: Bills 1-6, Jets 3-5

Not surprisingly, this rivalry has become a little one-sided with the Bills winning six of eight games against the Jets over the last four seasons, including four straight road wins over the Jets. The surprising part is that even with MVP frontrunner Josh Allen leading the offense, the Bills have only hit the over in one of their seven games. Likewise, the Jets have stayed under the point total in three straight weeks. Also, while the Jets are accustomed to being underdogs, this is the largest spread they’ve faced this season. But two of their three losses this season have come by 15 points. The Jets are also 1-3 SU and 1-3 ATS at home this year.

Vikings at Commanders

ATS Record: Vikings 3-4, Commanders 4-4

O/U Record: Vikings 4-3, Commanders 3-5

It still seems like not enough people are taking the 6-1 Vikings seriously. In fairness, only one of those six wins came against a team that currently has a winning record. The Commanders have won three straight games, including two wins as underdogs in back-to-back weeks. Ron Rivera is now 24-8 ATS when coming off a SU win as an underdog. He’s also 16-4 SU immediately following a win as a road underdog. The Vikings are also just 1-2 ATS on the road this year.

Raiders at Jaguars

ATS Record: Raiders 3-4, Jaguars 2-6

O/U Record: Raiders 4-3, Jaguars 4-4

The Jaguars don’t get a bye week after traveling to London, although that immediately gives them another chance to end their five-game losing streak. Even worse, they’ve lost all five of those games ATS as well. The silver lining for Jacksonville could be Travis Etienne, who is gaining 6.2 yards per carry and leading a rushing attack that gains 144 yards per game. The caveat is that over the last three years, the Raiders are 8-2 SU against teams that average at least 4.5 yards per carry, including 6-1 on the road. Then again, the Jags are giving up fewer than 20 points per game and the Raiders were held scoreless in last week’s loss to the Saints.

Seahawks at Cardinals

ATS Record: Seahawks 5-3, Cardinals 4-4

O/U Record: Seahawks 4-4, Cardinals 3-5

Surprisingly, it’s the Seahawks who are first in the NFC West and the Cardinals who are last in the division heading into Week 9, albeit with just a two-game difference between the teams. Seattle beat the Cardinals at home, 19-9, a few weeks ago and has dominated in recent years when visiting the desert. Since 2013, the Cardinals have just one home win over Seattle, and that was an overtime win in 2020. More recently, Seattle has won ATS in three straight games whereas the Cardinals have lost three of their last four games. Also, this will be just the third time Arizona is favored in a game whereas the Seahawks are accustomed to being an underdog and are 4-2 SU in that role.

Rams at Buccaneers

ATS Record: Rams 2-5, Buccaneers 2-6

O/U Record: Rams 2-5, Buccaneers 2-6

This playoff rematch from last season has certainly lost its luster, as both teams have a losing record and have a lot of work to do just to get back to the playoffs. Tom Brady and the Buccaneers have lost three in a row and five of their last six games while also losing six straight ATS. They are now 1-3 SU at home despite being favored in each game and 0-4 ATS at home. Also, Brady is 0-3 against the Rams during his tenure in Tampa. Meanwhile, the Rams are coming off their fourth loss of the season, all of which have come by double digits. They’ve also lost their only two games in which they’ve been an underdog this year.

Titans at Chiefs

ATS Record: Titans 5-2, Chiefs 3-4

O/U Record: Titans 2-5, Chiefs 4-3

For whatever reason, the Titans have been Kansas City’s kryptonite in recent years, winning five of the last six head-to-head games between these teams. Of course, the one win the Chiefs have in that span came in the AFC Championship Game. In more recent history, the Titans have quietly won five in a row after starting the year 0-2. That stretch includes two wins as the underdog and a defense that’s conceding just 15.2 points per game over those five wins, with Tennessee’s last four games going under the point total. As for the Chiefs, they are just 1-3 ATS as a favorite. Defensively, the Chiefs have been the antithesis of Tennessee this year, yielding at least 23 points in four straight games and hitting the over in all four.

Ravens at Saints

ATS Record: Ravens 3-4-1, Saints 3-5

O/U Record: Ravens 3-5, Saints 5-3

If only the real New Orleans defense would stand up. The Saints shut out the Raiders last week following a stretch in which they allowed at least 28 points against four straight opponents. At the same time, the Saints have scored at least 24 points in five straight games with Andy Dalton running the show. As for the Ravens, they are coming off back-to-back wins for the first time this season. They’ve also been true road warriors in 2022, going 3-1 SU and 3-1 ATS away from home. On the flip side, the Saints are just 2-2 SU at home but 3-1 ATS. However, the Saints are also 7-1 SU at home over the last three years when the over/under is between 45.5-49 points.

MORE: GET BETQL EDITORS’ WEEK 9 NFL PICKS | TOP NFL PLAYER PROPS

BetQL subscribers get more betting trends and all of our best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every pick. Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of this week's best NFL bets, plus what the model is projecting for every college football game! Start your free trial today!