NFL Playbook: Betting Lines, Odds & Picks For Week 7

NFL Betting Lines, Odds & Picks For Week 7

The NFL season moves into Week 7, and BetQL is your source for NFL best bets, live NFL public bets, live NFL sharp data, NFL line movement and historical betting trends in addition to our NFL articles that cover the sport from top to bottom. Scroll down to see all the best bets and key betting trends for this week's top matchups.

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Saints at Cardinals

ATS Record: Saints 2-4, Cardinals 3-3

O/U Record: Saints 4-2, Cardinals 1-5

Both teams are 2-4 and reaching a point of desperation if they want to be in the playoff picture in December. The Arizona offense continues to be stifled after scoring just nine points last week and losing for the first time as favorites. Meanwhile, the New Orleans defense has allowed at least 30 points in back-to-back weeks with the Saints struggling to create takeaways or even stop teams. That’s a good omen for the Cardinals, who are 8-1 ATS under Kliff Kingsbury against teams that average one takeaway or less. Kingsbury is also 13-4 ATS in October as an NFL coach.

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Buccaneers at Panthers

ATS Record: Buccaneers 2-4, Panthers 1-5

O/U Record: Buccaneers 1-5, Panthers 2-4

Both of these teams have been massive disappointments this year, largely because of a lack of offense. Carolina has scored 16 points or fewer in four of six games and ended last week’s game with a quarterback who would be fourth or fifth on the depth chart if everyone was healthy. Of course, the Bucs have Tom Brady, so they have no excuse for scoring 21 points or fewer in five of their six games or losing four in a row ATS and three of four SU. The good news is that Tampa is 4-0 against the Panthers with Brady, with the Bucs winning their last three trips to Carolina.

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Giants at Jaguars

ATS Record: Giants 5-1, Jaguars 2-4

O/U Record: Giants 2-4, Jaguars 2-4

Even at 5-1, the Giants still aren’t favored to beat a 2-4 Jacksonville team that’s lost three in a row. The G-Men are already 4-0 SU as underdogs this season, so that shouldn’t bother them too much. Of course, it might be worth mentioning that Doug Pederson was 8-2 against the Giants during his tenure with the Eagles. Pederson is also 7-1 SU as a head coach when his team is at home and the over/under is between 38.5 and 42 points.

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Lions at Cowboys

ATS Record: Lions 3-2, Cowboys 4-2

O/U Record: Lions 4-1, Cowboys 1-4-1

Detroit’s promising start offensively came to a crashing halt two weeks ago when the Lions were shut out against the Patriots. Even with an extra week to prepare, it may not get much easier against a Dallas defense that’s allowing just 16.3 points per game. That means the Lions will need a defense allowing a league-high 34.0 points per game to show some improvement, especially against a Dallas defense that could get Dak Prescott back this week. The good news for the Lions is that they are 6-0 ATS under Dan Campbell when coming off a loss of 10 points or more. Also, keep in mind the Cowboys are in unfamiliar territory, as this is just the second time they’ve been favored this year.

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Falcons at Bengals

ATS Record: Falcons 6-0, Bengals 4-2

O/U Record: Falcons 3-3, Bengals 1-5

Atlanta’s perfect streak ATS continued last week, as the Falcons covered at home in an outright win against the 49ers. Not only that, but they are 3-3 SU as underdogs. Meanwhile, the Bengals have won four in a row ATS while covering the last three games in which they’ve been favored. Something has to give this week, as these are the two hottest teams in the league ATS.

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Packers at Commanders

ATS Record: Packers 2-4, Commanders 2-4

O/U Record: Packers 2-4, Commanders 2-4

Both of these teams should be utterly disappointed with their season thus far, so one of them is bound to pick up a key win. Of course, even in a winning effort last week, the Commanders haven’t scored more than 17 points in four straight weeks. Without Carson Wentz, Washington will now likely turn back to Taylor Heinicke. The good news is Ron Rivera has been great at building momentum off of road wins, going 25-12 SU as a head coach following a road win. As for the Packers, they are just 1-3 ATS this year when favored, although they’ve yet to be favored on the road as they are this week.

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Colts at Titans

ATS Record: Colts 3-3, Titans 3-2

O/U Record: Colts 1-5, Titans 2-3

The Titans won in Indianapolis a few weeks ago, and now their rematch with the Colts comes following their bye week. For what it’s worth, the Colts have won in three of their last four visits to Nashville. They’ve also won both of the games this season in which they’ve been an underdog. Plus, Matt Ryan finally started to carry the offense last week, throwing for 389 yards and three touchdowns while the Colts had just 45 rushing yards without Jonathan Taylor. Under Frank Reich, the Colts are actually 11-3 SU immediately after rushing for 75 yards or less in a game.

Browns at Ravens

ATS Record: Browns 2-4, Ravens 2-3-1

O/U Record: Browns 5-1, Ravens 2-4

The only thing the Browns have been good at lately is playing high-scoring games, going 5-1 O/U this year. That’s because they’ve allowed at least 30 points in half of their games. On the heels of three straight losses, this may not be a good time for a rivalry game on the road, especially since the Browns have just two wins in their last 14 trips to Baltimore. To be fair, the Ravens aren’t in a great place right now; they are 1-2 SU and 0-2-1 ATS at home this year, so M&T Bank Stadium hasn’t exactly been a fortress.

Jets at Broncos

ATS Record: Jets 4-2, Broncos 2-4

O/U Record: Jets 3-3, Broncos 1-5

Denver’s frustration must be starting to boil over after consecutive overtime losses in games that the Broncos could have won with a little better offensive execution. At least the Broncos have been a safe bet to hit the under, doing so in five of six games. The one time Denver’s score hit the over, it happened because of a defensive touchdown by the opposing team. The Broncos have allowed 17 points or fewer in all but one game and have scored 16 points or fewer in all but one game. On the other side, it might be time to start taking the Jets seriously after three straight wins. They’ve been underdogs in all three of their road games this year and won all of them. The New York defense has picked it up, holding three straight opponents to 20 points or less.

Texans at Raiders

ATS Record: Texans 3-1-1, Raiders 2-3

O/U Record: Texans 2-3, Raiders 3-2

The Texans no longer have to worry about going winless this season. They’ve also surpassed expectations this season based on the spread, so they are not to be overlooked. Meanwhile, the Raiders are just 1-4 SU this year and can’t afford to lose this game if they hope to be a playoff team. The concern for Las Vegas is all four losses have been by six points or less. The Raiders are playing a lot of close games but finding ways to lose them. Another interesting trend is the Raiders have hit the over in three straight games while the Texans have gone over in two of their last three games.

Chiefs at 49ers

ATS Record: Chiefs 2-4, 49ers 3-3

O/U Record: Chiefs 3-3, 49ers 1-5

This is the first time these teams have met since Kansas City’s comeback win in Super Bowl LIV. Looking back even further, the Chiefs have won four of their last five games against the 49ers, although the Chiefs haven’t won a road game against the 49ers since the first-ever meeting between these franchises in 1971. In more recent history, the 49ers will be happy to be back at home, where they are 2-0 SU and 2-0 ATS. While San Francisco lost as a road favorite last week, Kyle Shanahan is 6-0 ATS the week after losing as a road favorite. Despite last week’s loss, the 49ers still averaged over 6 yards per play, doing so for the second straight week. That matters because the 49ers are 15-5 ATS under Shanahan after gaining at least 6.0 yards per play in back-to-back games.

Seahawks at Chargers

ATS Record: Seahawks 3-3, Chargers 4-2

O/U Record: Seahawks 3-3, Chargers 3-3

These former AFC West rivals meet at a time when both appear to be trending in the right direction. The Seahawks have grown accustomed to being the underdog in games, as all three of their wins in 2022 have come as an underdog. As for the Chargers, they held the offensive-starved Broncos to 16 points on Monday night but allowed at least 24 points in their previous four games. The L.A. defense has been particularly vulnerable against the run, which could play into Pete Carroll’s hands; Carroll is 25-5 SU with the Seahawks against teams that allow at least 130 rushing yards per game. He’s also 50-25 ATS when facing teams that allow at least 350 total yards per game.

Steelers at Dolphins

ATS Record: Steelers 2-3-1, Dolphins 3-3

O/U Record: Steelers 2-4, Dolphins 2-4

The Dolphins are hoping to get Tua Tagovailoa back this week and put their three-game losing streak behind them. But that might not cure everything that is ailing Miami right now. They also have to deal with a Pittsburgh team that has some confidence after knocking off the Bucs last week. Oddly enough, the Steelers are 2-1 SU this year when they are an underdog of seven points or more.

Bears at Patriots

ATS Record: Bears 2-3-1, Patriots 3-2-1

O/U Record: Bears 2-4, Patriots 3-3

Just when people start to doubt him, Bill Belichick reminds people who he is. The Patriots have covered in three straight games and collected back-to-back outright wins over the Lions and Browns. New England has outscored those teams 67-15 behind a suffocating defense that has been good enough to win games with Bailey Zappe at quarterback. Of course, the Patriots haven’t been favored by more than three points this season, and now they are being asked to cover eight points. Despite their offensive issues this year, the Bears have only lost one game by more than eight points in 2022. Plus, the Chicago defense has held four of six opponents to 20 points or less.

MORE: SPORTSBOOKS’ BEST PROMOS FOR NFL WEEK 7

BetQL subscribers get more betting trends and all of our best bets, including player props, with star ratings for every pick. Take advantage of BetQL's free trial and see all of this week's best NFL bets, plus what the model is projecting for every college football game! Start your free trial today!