Model Picks: NFL Player Prop Values For Week 3

BetQL identified the following best bets

Lamar Jackson Over 217.5 Passing Yards

Projection: 280 Pass Yds, 2 Pass TD, 1 INT

Jackson has 531 yards passing through the first two games of the season, including 318 against a Dolphins defense last week that ranks 23rd against the pass.

New England gave up 270 to Tua Tagovailoa Week 1, and had a little break facing Mitchell Trubisky last weekend. Even with the sleeve on his elbow that made some news during the week, Jackson should be able to get at least 218 yards passing given the respect the Patriots will have to show for the run as well.

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Marcus Mariota Over 208.5 Passing Yards

Projections: 280 Pass Yds, 1 Pass TD, 1 Pass Int

With 411 yards through the air so far, Mariota has done a solid job running the offense in Atlanta. This week, he'll see a Seattle defense that's 24th in passing yards allowed (257.0), including 340 to Russell Wilson Week 1 in an offense that looked like a mess even with that total.

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Allen Robinson Under 49.5 Receiving Yards

Projections: 1 Rec, 15 Rec Yds, 0 Rec TD

This comes in as a ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ without a ton of surprise given the inconsistent start for both Robinson and the Rams offense. Just 65 total yards receiving through the first two weeks has been the polar opposite of what most expected with Robinson added to this group, with the Rams coming in as just a middle-of-the-pack passing offense.

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