Look Back On An Insane Week 1 NFL Model Projection
Our model nearly got the exact score of this game correct
Dan Karpuc - Sep 12, 2023, 11:40am EDT
In Week 1, the Eagles clashed with the Patriots at Gillette Stadium, and the final score was Eagles 25, Patriots 20. What's remarkable is that BetQL's Model projected the score to be Eagles 25, Patriots 19.5.
BetQL's Model also identified the Eagles as a 3-star value bet with a -3.5 spread because it foresaw them winning by 5.5 points. That's the kind of insight you need to make informed betting decisions!
Moreover, the Model gave the Eagles an 82% chance of victory if they maintained a positive turnover ratio. The game saw Philadelphia force two turnovers and secure one of their own, turning the odds in their favor. The Eagles capitalized on two early New England turnovers, including a thrilling 70-yard interception return for a touchdown by Darius Slay.
In terms of player performance, Jalen Hurts went 22-for-33 for 170 yards and a touchdown while contributing 37 rushing yards. Kenneth Gainwell carried the running game with 14 out of 16 running back attempts for 54 yards. A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith were key players in the passing game (both catching seven passes). But, as a whole, this offense was held in check by New England’s defense.
The game started with the Eagles taking a commanding 16-0 lead, only to see the Patriots mount a comeback. Mac Jones had an impressive performance, going 35-for-54 for 316 yards, 3 touchdowns, and an interception. The Patriots spread their passing attack effectively, with eight different players catching multiple passes, and Kendrick Bourne was stellar out of the slot with two touchdowns.
The Eagles, coming off a Super Bowl appearance, brought in fresh faces, including new coordinators on offense and defense (Brian Johnson and Sean Desai, respectively). It was clear that there will be an adjustment period on both sides of the football. The Patriots also faced challenges with offensive line starters out due to injuries, resulting in rookies stepping in at guard positions.
The game itself was a rollercoaster, with the Eagles dominating early, only for the Patriots to mount a comeback. The second half was characterized by a low-scoring battle between the two teams, making every play critical.
To gain access to such valuable insights for Week 2 and beyond, subscribe to our model. With BetQL's betting analytics and projections, you'll have the upper hand in making informed betting decisions. Don't miss out on the opportunity to maximize your chances of success! Subscribe now!
