Instant Access: Seahawks at Vikings Week 3 Best Bets

• The Seattle Seahawks (1-1) will travel to take on the Minnesota Vikings (0-2) for their Week 3 game on Sunday at 4:25pm EST. Regardless of BetQL subscription status, all users can access this game’s data for free this week.

• Seattle opened as a 2.5-point (-140 moneyline) road favorite, but is now a 1-point (-120 moneyline) favorite after their Week 2 overtime loss to the Tennessee Titans. The over/under is now listed at 55 points having opened at 51. BetQL’s model is indicating that all of the aforementioned line movement is an overreaction. 

• BetQL is listing the Seahawks (-1) as a ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ value and projects them to win by 4.5 points. Under Pete Carroll, the Seahawks have gone 16-5 ATS directly following a home loss.

• Seattle is a -120 moneyline favorite. That’s a ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ value in BetQL’s model as well since it is listing them at -224 with a 69.2% chance to win. Under Carroll, the Seahawks have gone 23-4 SU following an upset loss.

• Under 55 points is a ⭐⭐⭐⭐ value and BetQL is projecting 52.5 total points scored.

Seahawks at Vikings Best Bets: Moneyline 

Seattle opened as a -140 moneyline road favorite, but that line moved to -120 following their Week 2 overtime loss at home to the Titans. 

Backing Seattle to win directly after an upset loss is always a smart betting move. Under Carroll, the Seahawks have gone 23-4 SU following an upset loss. That trend is hard to ignore. 

Not only that, but BetQL’s model is listing the Seahawks’ moneyline as a⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ value as well since it is listing them at -224 with a 69.2% chance to win. 

Russell Wilson has completed 74% of his passes for 597 yards, 6 TD and 0 INT through two games while Seattle’s running game has combined for 217 yards on 4.8 yards per carry and two scores. Receivers Tyler Lockett (12 receptions, 278 yards, 3 TD) and DK Metcalf (10 receptions, 113 yards, TD) will continue to be featured in this concentrated, yet dangerous offensive attack. 

If the Seahawks can avoid making bad decisions that lead to penalties, they should be in position to earn this road victory. Through two games, they’ve been flagged 17 times for 153 yards compared to just seven times for 61 yards for their opponents.

Seahawks at Vikings Best Bets: Spread

BetQL is listing the Seahawks (-1) as a ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ value and projects them to win by 4.5 points. Under Pete Carroll, the Seahawks have gone 16-5 ATS directly following a home loss.

The model has gone 106-71 (60%) across all bets in Vikings QB Kirk Cousins’ starts for a total return of $791.79. 

Seahawks at Vikings Best Bets: Total

The total opened at 51 points, but shot up to 55 after Week 2. 

According to the model, under 55 points is a ⭐⭐⭐⭐ value and BetQL is projecting 52.5 total points scored. 

Since BetQL is projecting the Seahawks to win this game and have the advantage, game script is important to take into account. Through two games, Seattle averages just 52.5 offensive plays per game, the 2nd-lowest mark in the NFL. 

While that’s a mechanism of their boom-or-bust, play-action-themed downfield offense, it also means that the Vikings (67.5 plays per game, 10th) and their run-heavy offense will most likely control the ball and time of possession with running back Dalvin Cook.

Not only will that make the clock keep running, but it could lead Seattle to utilize Chris Carson and their running game more in an effort to keep their own defense off the field and give them a breather. 

The opening total was closer to BetQL’s projection, but this overreaction makes the under the best bet.