Eagles at Cowboys: SNF Best Bets For Week 14

Eagles at Cowboys: Week 14 Betting Preview

The Cowboys are -3.5 favorites over the Eagles, and the line has been moving since it opened. The game will be broadcast on NBC at 8:15 p.m. ET at AT&T Stadium in Dallas.

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Eagles vs. Cowboys: Live Week 14 Odds

Philadelphia Eagles Week 14 Outlook

The Eagles' luck finally ran out last week against the San Francisco 49ers, suffering a home beatdown to the tune 42-19. For weeks, they have been getting some of the best turnover luck I have ever seen and have also been outgained in nearly every game this season by their opponents. The 49ers exposed them in a big way, and now they have to go to Dallas to face a hot Cowboys team.

My fade of the Eagles has been going on for weeks, but I will admit, their offense hasn't been the main reason I think they are a bit of a fraud. They are ranked 13th in yards per play, which is low for a team with a 10-2 record, but still not that bad. Philly is averaging the second-most first downs gained per game, managing 22.8 on average each contest. This is not as much of an explosive offense, but rather, they are more efficient at creating long drives with the amount of first downs they gain per game.

Philly's defense is the main reason for fading them, as they are perhaps the worst secondary in the NFL. They have been shredded this season by opposing offenses, and are also allowing a ton of explosive plays, ranking 24th in yards per play given up. The Eagles are the worst defense in the NFL on third down, allowing opponents to convert on 47.3% of attempts, which is a horrendous number for professional football. They are also ranked 29th in defensive passing DVOA and 29th in red-zone efficiency. What they have been is very lucky, getting a lot of timely turnovers when they have needed them most.

Dallas Cowboys Week 14 Outlook

The Cowboys are just a step behind the Eagles in the NFC East with a 9-3 record, and if they win this game, they will be tied for first place. There will be plenty of incentive for them to win here at home, where they have generally dominated their competition. Last week, they certainly had a scare against the Seattle Seahawks, but came away with a 41-35 victory. It wasn't their best performance on defense, but overall, this has been a really strong team.

Dallas comes into this game ranked seventh in yards per play on offense, which ranks above the Eagles in this category. They are also the one team that is in front of Philly in first downs gained per game, ranking No. 1 in the NFL with 23.3 per game. So not only are they explosive on offense, but they also have been generating a ton of first downs as well to extend drives. Indeed, this offense has been fantastic. They are ranked third in offensive passing DVOA, and QB Dak Prescott is tied with Eagles QB Jalen Hurts for second in the current MVP odds.

Even though they didn't look great last week against Seattle, Dallas still owns one of the best defenses in the league. They are ranked fourth in yards per play allowed, meaning they don't allow a lot of explosive plays down the field at all. The Cowboys are also the third-best team in the league at preventing first downs, allowing just 17.6 per game to their opponents.

Best Bet For Eagles at Cowboys

Matt Horner: Cowboys ML & Ravens ML Parlay (+105, DraftKings)

I think Dallas is the better team, and want to back them in this game, but also don't want to lay over a field goal at the current -3.5 number. Too much Eagles smoke and mirrors magic to risk that. Instead, I think the best way to play them is combining their ML with a huge favorite this week, such as Baltimore (-340) coming off a bye week at home against the Rams. You could also use Miami's ML (-835) against the Titans, but that will garner a much larger price tag over -130.